BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Cain Velasquez vs.
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-3-0 Cain Velasquez · UFC
5-6-0 Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-3-0
UFC record
5-6-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
44
AgeΔ 6.2 yrs
50.2
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
77"
ReachΔ 0"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
89.6
Layoff (months)Δ 42.6 mo
132.2
LWLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira is a submission threat — 1.61 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Cain Velasquez hunts takedowns — 4.59 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Cain Velasquez carries real power — 1.35 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Cain Velasquez

Full career not yet synced for Cain Velasquez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Full career not yet synced for Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7196.48/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
2642.83/min · norm 3.36
2662.40/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
3603.86/min · norm 3.19
57.6%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
40.8%norm 47.8%
57.6%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
56.1%norm 52.5%
101.35/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
40.64/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Cain Velasquez

Distance 48.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 21.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 30.1% (norm 9.3%)

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Distance 87.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.9% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Cain Velasquez

Head 83.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 7.1% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 7.6%)

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira

Head 90.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 7.4% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 2.0% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Velasquez L/AAccHeavyweight med Nogueira L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 260 / 601 43.3% 40.1% 204 / 565 36.1% 40.1%
In the clinch 195 / 272 71.7% 70.6% 49 / 64 76.6% 70.6%
On the ground 264 / 376 70.2% 70.2% 11 / 18 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 542 / 1046 51.8% 38.9% 212 / 586 36.2% 38.9%
To the body 77 / 89 86.5% 76.8% 39 / 48 81.2% 76.8%
To the legs 100 / 114 87.7% 87.8% 13 / 13 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Velasquez L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Nogueira L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 186 / 506 36.8% 40.7% 273 / 682 40.0% 40.7%
In the clinch 69 / 106 65.1% 70.6% 43 / 68 63.2% 70.6%
On the ground 11 / 16 too few to rate 72.0% 44 / 70 62.9% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 196 / 532 36.8% 38.8% 246 / 681 36.1% 38.8%
To the body 60 / 85 70.6% 75.1% 54 / 71 76.1% 75.1%
To the legs 10 / 11 too few to rate 84.4% 60 / 68 88.2% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3442.0% acc · 4.59/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
821.6% acc · 1.29/15 · norm 0.95
975.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
337.5% def · norm 64.3%
67:0260.4% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
23:2525.1% of cage time · norm 17.2%
3:570:32 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
14:102:16 per 15 · norm 2:28
30.41/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
101.61/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Velasquez has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.