Bryan Caraway vs. Raphael Assuncao
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Bryan Caraway
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 4 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 16 | 5 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.84 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 31 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500
Raphael Assuncao
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 12 | 7 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 16 | 3 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.98 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 38 documented bouts
In the UFC: 8-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Bryan Caraway
Distance 90.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 1.2% (norm 6.4%)
Raphael Assuncao
Distance 88.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 6.2%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 6.4%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Bryan Caraway
Head 90.1% (norm 77.5%) · Body 5.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 8.4%)
Raphael Assuncao
Head 71.9% (norm 77.5%) · Body 11.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 17.2% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Caraway L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med | Assuncao L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 269 / 808 | 33.3% | 39.2% | 639 / 1593 | 40.1% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 33 / 76 | 43.4% | 69.0% | 80 / 116 | 69.0% | 69.0% |
| On the ground | 7 / 11 | too few to rate | 70.2% | 67 / 90 | 74.4% | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 248 / 806 | 30.8% | 35.3% | 418 / 1293 | 32.3% | 35.3% |
| To the body | 32 / 52 | 61.5% | 66.9% | 126 / 197 | 64.0% | 66.9% |
| To the legs | 29 / 37 | 78.4% | 79.2% | 242 / 309 | 78.3% | 79.2% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 121 fighters · Bantamweight: 121 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Caraway L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med | vs Assuncao L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 358 / 846 | 42.3% | 39.4% | 578 / 1761 | 32.8% | 39.4% |
| In the clinch | 86 / 139 | 61.9% | 70.6% | 29 / 52 | 55.8% | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 17 / 26 | 65.4% | 72.1% | 18 / 23 | too few to rate | 72.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 289 / 803 | 36.0% | 34.9% | 274 / 1322 | 20.7% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 100 / 128 | 78.1% | 66.1% | 158 / 252 | 62.7% | 66.1% |
| To the legs | 72 / 80 | 90.0% | 78.8% | 193 / 262 | 73.7% | 78.8% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Assuncao has more cage time on record.