Bryan Caraway vs.
Dustin Neace
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Bryan Caraway
Full career not yet synced for Bryan Caraway — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500
Dustin Neace
Full career not yet synced for Dustin Neace — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Bryan Caraway
Distance 90.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 1.2% (norm 6.5%)
Dustin Neace
Distance 92.7% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 1.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 5.5% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Bryan Caraway
Head 90.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 5.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 8.4%)
Dustin Neace
Head 85.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 7.3% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 7.8%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Caraway L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med | Neace L/A | Acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 269 / 808 | 33.3% | 39.0% | 15 / 51 | 29.4% | 40.9% |
| In the clinch | 33 / 76 | 43.4% | 68.7% | 0 / 1 | too few to rate | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 7 / 11 | too few to rate | 70.2% | 3 / 3 | too few to rate | 69.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 248 / 806 | 30.8% | 34.9% | 10 / 47 | 21.3% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 32 / 52 | 61.5% | 66.8% | 4 / 4 | too few to rate | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 29 / 37 | 78.4% | 79.4% | 4 / 4 | too few to rate | 80.7% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Caraway L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med | vs Neace L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 358 / 846 | 42.3% | 39.3% | 22 / 52 | 42.3% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 86 / 139 | 61.9% | 70.4% | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 17 / 26 | 65.4% | 72.4% | 1 / 1 | too few to rate | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 289 / 803 | 36.0% | 34.9% | 13 / 41 | 31.7% | 35.9% |
| To the body | 100 / 128 | 78.1% | 66.0% | 2 / 4 | too few to rate | 67.9% |
| To the legs | 72 / 80 | 90.0% | 79.1% | 8 / 8 | too few to rate | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Caraway has more cage time on record.