BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Bryan Barberena vs.
Makhmud Muradov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-10-0 Bryan Barberena · UFC
4-2-0 (1 NC) Makhmud Muradov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-10-0
UFC record
4-2-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
37.3
AgeΔ 0.8 yrs
36.5
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
72"
ReachΔ 3"
75"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
28.7
Layoff (months)Δ 1.4 mo
30.1
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
NCWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Makhmud Muradov hunts takedowns — 3.03 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Bryan Barberena rarely shoots — 0.13 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Makhmud Muradov carries real power — 0.57 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Bryan Barberena

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 910
Tier 3 — regional circuit 92

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.74 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 30 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Makhmud Muradov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 3 — regional circuit 265

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.84 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 21 finish wins over 39 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11915.35/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3334.21/min · norm 3.25
10224.59/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
2032.57/min · norm 3.20
48.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
43.9%norm 47.4%
44.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
61.0%norm 53.8%
60.40/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
30.57/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Bryan Barberena

Distance 83.3% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.9% (norm 8.1%)

Makhmud Muradov

Distance 92.2% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.6% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Bryan Barberena

Head 80.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 8.4%)

Makhmud Muradov

Head 79.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 17.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Barberena L/AAccWelterweight med Muradov L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 897 / 2065 43.4% 38.6% 302 / 699 43.2% 40.5%
In the clinch 202 / 293 68.9% 67.8% 19 / 35 54.3% 70.3%
On the ground 92 / 121 76.0% 67.2% 12 / 24 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 833 / 1997 41.7% 37.2% 219 / 601 36.4% 38.9%
To the body 158 / 216 73.1% 70.7% 94 / 134 70.1% 71.7%
To the legs 200 / 266 75.2% 82.9% 20 / 23 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Barberena L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Muradov L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 804 / 1546 52.0% 39.0% 186 / 499 37.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 158 / 212 74.5% 68.9% 8 / 13 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 60 / 73 82.2% 68.0% 9 / 9 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 656 / 1392 47.1% 35.6% 134 / 414 32.4% 37.9%
To the body 269 / 333 80.8% 69.6% 20 / 41 48.8% 71.3%
To the legs 97 / 106 91.5% 82.1% 49 / 66 74.2% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

222.2% acc · 0.13/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1666.7% acc · 3.03/15 · norm 1.42
6250.0% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1477.8% def · norm 63.1%
17:197.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
11:1014.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
66:314:28 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
7:401:27 per 15 · norm 3:00
40.27/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.19/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Barberena has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.