BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Bruno Lopes vs.
Navajo Stirling

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Bruno Lopes · UFC
6-0-0 Navajo Stirling · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
6-0-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
33.3
AgeΔ 4.6 yrs
28.7
6'2"
HeightΔ 2"
6'4"
74"
ReachΔ 5"
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
4.3
Layoff (months)Δ 4.2 mo
0.1
LLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Bruno Lopes hunts takedowns — 2.89 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Bruno Lopes owns the mat — in control 40% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Navajo Stirling outworks the Light Heavyweight division — 6.41 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.41 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Bruno Lopes

Full career not yet synced for Bruno Lopes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Navajo Stirling

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 70
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 2.19 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 11 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

642.47/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
4196.41/min · norm 3.41
1114.28/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
1612.46/min · norm 3.35
45.1%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
54.2%norm 48.3%
48.4%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
59.4%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
20.46/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Bruno Lopes

Distance 72.5% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 23.9% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 3.5% (norm 10.4%)

Navajo Stirling

Distance 81.5% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 4.4% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 14.1% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Bruno Lopes

Head 66.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 16.9% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 16.9% (norm 9.7%)

Navajo Stirling

Head 64.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 24.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lopes L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Stirling L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 33 / 103 32.0% 41.4% 313 / 630 49.7% 41.4%
In the clinch 28 / 34 82.4% 70.9% 24 / 34 70.6% 70.9%
On the ground 3 / 5 too few to rate 72.3% 82 / 109 75.2% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 37 / 94 39.4% 38.9% 221 / 501 44.1% 38.9%
To the body 17 / 24 too few to rate 71.9% 133 / 187 71.1% 71.9%
To the legs 10 / 24 too few to rate 81.8% 65 / 85 76.5% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lopes L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Stirling L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 78 / 171 45.6% 40.4% 143 / 364 39.3% 40.4%
In the clinch 15 / 24 too few to rate 68.7% 15 / 28 53.6% 68.7%
On the ground 18 / 20 too few to rate 70.4% 3 / 5 too few to rate 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 55 / 142 38.7% 37.5% 93 / 303 30.7% 37.5%
To the body 31 / 40 77.5% 72.3% 35 / 48 72.9% 72.3%
To the legs 25 / 33 75.8% 83.0% 33 / 46 71.7% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

522.7% acc · 2.89/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
436.4% acc · 0.92/15 · norm 0.87
3100.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2369.7% def · norm 66.7%
10:1939.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
12:1618.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
2:151:18 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
11:452:41 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Stirling has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.