Brock Lesnar vs.
Shane Carwin
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Brock Lesnar
Full career not yet synced for Brock Lesnar — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.1 wins over .500
Shane Carwin
Full career not yet synced for Shane Carwin — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Brock Lesnar
Distance 30.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 59.8% (norm 9.3%)
Shane Carwin
Distance 45.6% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 19.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 34.9% (norm 9.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Brock Lesnar
Head 78.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 16.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 5.1% (norm 7.6%)
Shane Carwin
Head 91.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 1.4% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 7.6%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Lesnar L/A | Acc | Heavyweight med | Carwin L/A | Acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 31 / 89 | 34.8% | 40.1% | 29 / 128 | 22.7% | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 28 / 30 | 93.3% | 70.6% | 41 / 55 | 74.5% | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 154 / 177 | 87.0% | 70.2% | 61 / 98 | 62.2% | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 152 / 233 | 65.2% | 38.9% | 107 / 256 | 41.8% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 47 / 48 | 97.9% | 76.8% | 4 / 4 | too few to rate | 76.8% |
| To the legs | 14 / 15 | too few to rate | 87.8% | 20 / 21 | too few to rate | 87.8% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Lesnar L/A | Opp acc | Heavyweight med | vs Carwin L/A | Opp acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 36 / 104 | 34.6% | 40.7% | 77 / 194 | 39.7% | 40.7% |
| In the clinch | 39 / 56 | 69.6% | 70.6% | 8 / 10 | too few to rate | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 54 / 103 | 52.4% | 72.0% | 25 / 36 | 69.4% | 72.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 103 / 235 | 43.8% | 38.8% | 88 / 210 | 41.9% | 38.8% |
| To the body | 18 / 19 | too few to rate | 75.1% | 16 / 24 | too few to rate | 75.1% |
| To the legs | 8 / 9 | too few to rate | 84.4% | 6 / 6 | too few to rate | 84.4% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lesnar has more cage time on record.