BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Brian Ortega vs.
Diego Lopes

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-5-0 (1 NC) Brian Ortega · UFC
7-3-0 Diego Lopes · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-5-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
7-3-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
35
AgeΔ 4 yrs
31
5'8"
HeightΔ 3"
5'11"
69"
ReachΔ 3"
72"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
11.4
Layoff (months)Δ 9.7 mo
1.7
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Diego Lopes carries real power — 0.77 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Diego Lopes is a submission threat — 1.02 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Brian Ortega is a submission threat — 0.93 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Brian Ortega

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.34 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.8 wins over .500

Diego Lopes

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 74
Tier 3 — regional circuit 214

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.09 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 24 finish wins over 36 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7423.84/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
4623.94/min · norm 3.54
12336.38/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
5484.68/min · norm 3.47
37.3%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
47.0%norm 45.0%
49.3%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
47.2%norm 54.85%
50.39/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
60.77/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Brian Ortega

Distance 94.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.3% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 2.7% (norm 6.5%)

Diego Lopes

Distance 79.1% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.9% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 16.0% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Brian Ortega

Head 85.8% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.4% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 7.8%)

Diego Lopes

Head 80.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.6% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ortega L/AAccFeatherweight med Lopes L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 657 / 1868 35.2% 40.9% 320 / 777 41.2% 40.9%
In the clinch 49 / 65 75.4% 70.8% 34 / 48 70.8% 70.8%
On the ground 36 / 54 66.7% 69.2% 108 / 157 68.8% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 528 / 1704 31.0% 37.2% 334 / 792 42.2% 37.2%
To the body 136 / 187 72.7% 68.2% 56 / 96 58.3% 68.2%
To the legs 78 / 96 81.2% 80.7% 72 / 94 76.6% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ortega L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Lopes L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1063 / 2176 48.9% 39.2% 456 / 927 49.2% 39.2%
In the clinch 44 / 57 77.2% 70.3% 27 / 33 81.8% 70.3%
On the ground 126 / 198 63.6% 69.4% 65 / 78 83.3% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 875 / 1998 43.8% 35.9% 433 / 876 49.4% 35.9%
To the body 185 / 242 76.4% 67.9% 38 / 61 62.3% 67.9%
To the legs 173 / 191 90.6% 81.5% 77 / 101 76.2% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1225.0% acc · 0.93/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
746.7% acc · 0.90/15 · norm 1.19
1854.5% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
2374.2% def · norm 61.5%
16:388.6% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
12:4810.9% of cage time · norm 16.7%
22:061:42 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
15:041:55 per 15 · norm 3:12
120.93/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
81.02/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Ortega has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.