BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Brendan O'Reilly vs.
Zhang Lipeng

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Brendan O'Reilly · UFC
2-2-0 Zhang Lipeng · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
2-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
39
AgeΔ 3 yrs
36
5'7"
HeightΔ 4"
5'11"
69"
ReachΔ 2"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
116.1
Layoff (months)Δ 18.6 mo
134.7
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Brendan O'Reilly owns the mat — in control 33% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Brendan O'Reilly hunts takedowns — 2.22 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Zhang Lipeng is a submission threat — 0.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Brendan O'Reilly

Full career not yet synced for Brendan O'Reilly — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Zhang Lipeng

Full career not yet synced for Zhang Lipeng — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

901.90/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
771.28/min · norm 3.42
1312.77/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1131.88/min · norm 3.37
47.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
48.7%norm 43.5%
39.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
53.9%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Brendan O'Reilly

Distance 48.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 44.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.3% (norm 8.0%)

Zhang Lipeng

Distance 63.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 25.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Brendan O'Reilly

Head 68.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 22.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zhang Lipeng

Head 57.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 25.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone O'Reilly L/AAccLightweight med Lipeng L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 32 / 93 34.4% 37.9% 38 / 101 37.6% 37.9%
In the clinch 52 / 85 61.2% 67.3% 32 / 41 78.0% 67.3%
On the ground 6 / 12 too few to rate 69.1% 7 / 16 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 49 / 131 37.4% 35.0% 24 / 90 26.7% 35.0%
To the body 29 / 43 67.4% 69.1% 17 / 27 63.0% 69.1%
To the legs 12 / 16 too few to rate 81.9% 36 / 41 87.8% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs O'Reilly L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Lipeng L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 40 / 91 44.0% 38.9% 48 / 146 32.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 69 / 99 69.7% 68.6% 43 / 56 76.8% 68.6%
On the ground 22 / 28 78.6% 68.0% 22 / 43 51.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 79 / 162 48.8% 35.1% 49 / 147 33.3% 35.1%
To the body 35 / 39 89.7% 68.1% 16 / 34 47.1% 68.1%
To the legs 17 / 17 too few to rate 81.5% 48 / 64 75.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

743.8% acc · 2.22/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
730.4% acc · 1.75/15 · norm 1.38
436.4% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1669.6% def · norm 64.0%
15:2532.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
17:5029.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
23:317:27 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
25:516:27 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.63/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
30.75/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — O'Reilly has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.