BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Brendan O'Reilly vs.
Alan Jouban

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Brendan O'Reilly · UFC
8-5-0 Alan Jouban · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
8-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39.1
AgeΔ 5.6 yrs
44.7
5'7"
HeightΔ 5"
6'0"
69"
ReachΔ 4"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
116.1
Layoff (months)Δ 47.6 mo
68.5
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alan Jouban carries real power — 1.15 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Alan Jouban outworks the Welterweight division — 5.67 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.17 norm.
Brendan O'Reilly owns the mat — in control 33% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Brendan O'Reilly

Full career not yet synced for Brendan O'Reilly — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Alan Jouban

Full career not yet synced for Alan Jouban — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

901.90/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
6635.67/min · norm 3.17
1312.77/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4413.77/min · norm 3.06
47.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
50.3%norm 44.9%
39.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
60.0%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
91.15/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Brendan O'Reilly

Distance 48.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 44.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.3% (norm 8.0%)

Alan Jouban

Distance 85.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Brendan O'Reilly

Head 68.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 22.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.4% (norm 7.9%)

Alan Jouban

Head 72.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.7% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone O'Reilly L/AAccLightweight med Jouban L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 32 / 93 34.4% 37.9% 538 / 1120 48.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 52 / 85 61.2% 67.3% 86 / 135 63.7% 67.8%
On the ground 6 / 12 too few to rate 69.1% 39 / 63 61.9% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 49 / 131 37.4% 35.0% 398 / 961 41.4% 37.2%
To the body 29 / 43 67.4% 69.1% 138 / 207 66.7% 70.7%
To the legs 12 / 16 too few to rate 81.9% 127 / 150 84.7% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs O'Reilly L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Jouban L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 40 / 91 44.0% 38.9% 362 / 971 37.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 69 / 99 69.7% 68.6% 53 / 89 59.6% 68.9%
On the ground 22 / 28 78.6% 68.0% 26 / 43 60.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 79 / 162 48.8% 35.1% 327 / 934 35.0% 35.6%
To the body 35 / 39 89.7% 68.1% 67 / 107 62.6% 69.6%
To the legs 17 / 17 too few to rate 81.5% 47 / 62 75.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

743.8% acc · 2.22/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
444.4% acc · 0.51/15 · norm 1.27
436.4% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1058.8% def · norm 63.9%
15:2532.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
8:006.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
23:317:27 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
13:221:42 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.63/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.26/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Jouban has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.