BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Brendan Allen vs.
Sam Alvey

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-4-0 Brendan Allen · UFC
10-13-1 Sam Alvey · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-4-0
UFC record
10-13-1
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
30
AgeΔ 10 yrs
40
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
75"
ReachΔ 0"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
2
Layoff (months)Δ 46 mo
48
WWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLD
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Brendan Allen is a submission threat — 1.01 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Sam Alvey rarely shoots — 0.06 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Brendan Allen owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Brendan Allen

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 164
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 63
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 22 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Sam Alvey

Full career not yet synced for Sam Alvey — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8343.74/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
7583.28/min · norm 3.25
8353.74/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
8393.63/min · norm 3.20
52.3%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
44.5%norm 47.4%
48.2%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
52.8%norm 53.8%
30.20/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
70.45/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Brendan Allen

Distance 83.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 11.3% (norm 10.3%)

Sam Alvey

Distance 85.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 2.6% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Brendan Allen

Head 79.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 8.4%)

Sam Alvey

Head 81.6% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Allen L/AAccMiddleweight med Alvey L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 650 / 1328 48.9% 40.5% 576 / 1450 39.7% 40.5%
In the clinch 56 / 86 65.1% 70.3% 152 / 208 73.1% 70.3%
On the ground 128 / 181 70.7% 69.1% 30 / 45 66.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 549 / 1260 43.6% 38.9% 511 / 1390 36.8% 38.9%
To the body 172 / 215 80.0% 71.7% 116 / 156 74.4% 71.7%
To the legs 113 / 120 94.2% 83.3% 131 / 157 83.4% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Allen L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Alvey L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 718 / 1449 49.6% 39.5% 703 / 1576 44.6% 39.5%
In the clinch 48 / 66 72.7% 70.9% 91 / 137 66.4% 70.9%
On the ground 69 / 97 71.1% 69.0% 45 / 63 71.4% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 681 / 1410 48.3% 37.9% 464 / 1233 37.6% 37.9%
To the body 112 / 151 74.2% 71.3% 172 / 306 56.2% 71.3%
To the legs 42 / 51 82.4% 82.1% 203 / 237 85.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2242.3% acc · 1.48/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
114.3% acc · 0.06/15 · norm 1.42
2455.8% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
5582.1% def · norm 63.1%
66:1229.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
13:065.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
50:553:25 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
33:372:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
151.01/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
10.06/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alvey has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.