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Brendan Allen vs. Karl Roberson

UFC 16-4-0 vs. 4-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
16-4-0
UFC record
4-6-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
30
AgeΔ 6 yrs
36
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
0.3
Layoff (months)Δ 51.1 mo
51.4
WWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Brendan Allen is a submission threat — 1.04 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Middleweight norm.
Brendan Allen owns the mat — in control 30% of cage time, vs a 19% Middleweight norm.
Karl Roberson rarely shoots — 0.73 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.35 Middleweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Brendan Allen

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 164
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 63
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 22 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 14-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Karl Roberson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 3 — regional circuit 41

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.58 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8853.60/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
2082.51/min · norm 3.23
9413.83/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
2002.42/min · norm 3.20
52.0%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
51.5%norm 47.4%
47.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
57.7%norm 53.8%
30.18/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.18/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Brendan Allen

Distance 82.9% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 11.1% (norm 10.0%)

Karl Roberson

Distance 75.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.7% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 16.3% (norm 10.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Brendan Allen

Head 79.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 8.4%)

Karl Roberson

Head 74.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Allen L/AAccMiddleweight med Roberson L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 682 / 1411 48.3% 40.5% 122 / 303 40.3% 40.5%
In the clinch 68 / 102 66.7% 70.6% 33 / 35 94.3% 70.6%
On the ground 135 / 189 71.4% 69.4% 53 / 66 80.3% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 583 / 1345 43.3% 38.8% 127 / 299 42.5% 38.8%
To the body 184 / 231 79.7% 71.6% 37 / 54 68.5% 71.6%
To the legs 118 / 126 93.7% 83.3% 44 / 51 86.3% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Allen L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Roberson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 805 / 1614 49.9% 39.5% 100 / 344 29.1% 39.5%
In the clinch 58 / 81 71.6% 70.4% 14 / 18 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 78 / 106 73.6% 69.0% 86 / 111 77.5% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 746 / 1547 48.2% 37.9% 147 / 384 38.3% 37.9%
To the body 132 / 175 75.4% 71.3% 32 / 53 60.4% 71.3%
To the legs 63 / 79 79.7% 82.1% 21 / 36 58.3% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2641.3% acc · 1.59/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
440.0% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 1.35
2455.8% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
1140.7% def · norm 63.3%
74:5130.5% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
14:2617.4% of cage time · norm 19.4%
54:463:20 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
30:005:26 per 15 · norm 3:00
171.04/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
30.54/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Allen has more cage time on record.