BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Brendan Allen vs.
Chris Curtis

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-4-0 Brendan Allen · UFC
6-5-0 (1 NC) Chris Curtis · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-4-0
UFC record
6-5-0 (1 NC)
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
30.6
AgeΔ 8.5 yrs
39.1
6'2"
HeightΔ 4"
5'10"
75"
ReachΔ 0"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
2
Layoff (months)Δ 2.7 mo
4.7
WWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Brendan Allen is a submission threat — 1.01 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Chris Curtis rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Chris Curtis absorbs 5.79 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Brendan Allen

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 164
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 63
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 22 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 34 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Chris Curtis

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 87
Tier 3 — regional circuit 245

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.86 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 18 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8343.74/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
8485.39/min · norm 3.25
8353.74/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
9105.79/min · norm 3.20
52.3%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
49.3%norm 47.4%
48.2%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
53.8%norm 53.8%
30.20/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.29/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Brendan Allen

Distance 83.3% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 11.3% (norm 10.3%)

Chris Curtis

Distance 95.1% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.0% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Brendan Allen

Head 79.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 8.4%)

Chris Curtis

Head 78.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 18.1% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Allen L/AAccMiddleweight med Curtis L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 650 / 1328 48.9% 40.5% 780 / 1635 47.7% 40.5%
In the clinch 56 / 86 65.1% 70.3% 55 / 68 80.9% 70.3%
On the ground 128 / 181 70.7% 69.1% 13 / 17 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 549 / 1260 43.6% 38.9% 578 / 1357 42.6% 38.9%
To the body 172 / 215 80.0% 71.7% 225 / 312 72.1% 71.7%
To the legs 113 / 120 94.2% 83.3% 45 / 51 88.2% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Allen L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Curtis L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 718 / 1449 49.6% 39.5% 845 / 1865 45.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 48 / 66 72.7% 70.9% 45 / 76 59.2% 70.9%
On the ground 69 / 97 71.1% 69.0% 20 / 29 69.0% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 681 / 1410 48.3% 37.9% 570 / 1548 36.8% 37.9%
To the body 112 / 151 74.2% 71.3% 173 / 238 72.7% 71.3%
To the legs 42 / 51 82.4% 82.1% 167 / 184 90.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2242.3% acc · 1.48/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
2455.8% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
5364.6% def · norm 63.1%
66:1229.7% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
3:062.0% of cage time · norm 19.75%
50:553:25 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
26:362:32 per 15 · norm 3:00
151.01/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Allen has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.