Brandon Thatch vs.
Justin Edwards
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Brandon Thatch
Full career not yet synced for Brandon Thatch — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500
Justin Edwards
Full career not yet synced for Justin Edwards — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Brandon Thatch
Distance 80.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 15.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.3% (norm 8.1%)
Justin Edwards
Distance 69.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 23.6% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.5% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Brandon Thatch
Head 71.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.9% (norm 8.4%)
Justin Edwards
Head 77.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.3% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Thatch L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Edwards L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 79 / 223 | 35.4% | 38.6% | 113 / 343 | 32.9% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 31 / 43 | 72.1% | 67.8% | 75 / 116 | 64.7% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 9 / 12 | too few to rate | 67.2% | 19 / 32 | 59.4% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 63 / 200 | 31.5% | 37.2% | 131 / 380 | 34.5% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 31 / 45 | 68.9% | 70.7% | 56 / 80 | 70.0% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 25 / 33 | 75.8% | 82.9% | 20 / 31 | 64.5% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Thatch L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Edwards L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 79 / 227 | 34.8% | 39.0% | 129 / 360 | 35.8% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 26 / 38 | 68.4% | 68.9% | 74 / 96 | 77.1% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 55 / 74 | 74.3% | 68.0% | 53 / 67 | 79.1% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 107 / 267 | 40.1% | 35.6% | 177 / 428 | 41.4% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 36 / 48 | 75.0% | 69.6% | 57 / 69 | 82.6% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 17 / 24 | too few to rate | 82.1% | 22 / 26 | 84.6% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Edwards has more cage time on record.