BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Brandon Moreno vs.
Joseph Morales

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-7-2 Brandon Moreno · UFC
3-2-0 Joseph Morales · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-7-2
UFC record
3-2-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
32.7
AgeΔ 0.7 yrs
32
5'7"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
5.2
Layoff (months)Δ 3.7 mo
8.9
LLWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joseph Morales is a submission threat — 3.04 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Joseph Morales carries real power — 0.38 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Brandon Moreno

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 117
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 113

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.04 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 35 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Joseph Morales

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 32
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 90

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.41 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

13083.84/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
792.00/min · norm 3.49
12423.64/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
812.05/min · norm 3.24
44.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
40.5%norm 44.6%
59.9%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
57.8%norm 56.4%
40.18/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.38/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Brandon Moreno

Distance 91.1% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 4.3% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 4.6% (norm 7.3%)

Joseph Morales

Distance 68.2% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 9.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 22.1% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Brandon Moreno

Head 84.7% (norm 75.9%) · Body 9.9% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 9.3%)

Joseph Morales

Head 80.0% (norm 75.9%) · Body 15.9% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 4.1% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Moreno L/AAccFlyweight med Morales L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1147 / 2684 42.7% 40.0% 44 / 133 33.1% 40.0%
In the clinch 72 / 126 57.1% 70.4% 11 / 19 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 89 / 136 65.4% 69.7% 24 / 43 55.8% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 969 / 2494 38.9% 37.6% 50 / 156 32.1% 37.6%
To the body 207 / 293 70.6% 68.5% 23 / 31 74.2% 68.5%
To the legs 132 / 159 83.0% 80.0% 6 / 8 too few to rate 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Moreno L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Morales L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1097 / 2891 37.9% 40.1% 51 / 142 35.9% 40.1%
In the clinch 48 / 82 58.5% 68.8% 7 / 10 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 97 / 121 80.2% 71.1% 23 / 40 57.5% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 840 / 2519 33.3% 35.2% 44 / 145 30.3% 35.2%
To the body 217 / 322 67.4% 68.2% 29 / 38 76.3% 68.2%
To the legs 185 / 253 73.1% 80.3% 8 / 9 too few to rate 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3139.7% acc · 1.36/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
342.9% acc · 1.14/15 · norm 1.30
4965.3% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
426.7% def · norm 62.5%
61:4118.1% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
6:4217.0% of cage time · norm 17.0%
34:171:30 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
16:296:15 per 15 · norm 2:44
90.40/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
83.04/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Moreno has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.