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Brad Tavares vs. Seth Baczynski

UFC 16-12-0 vs. 5-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
16-12-0
UFC record
5-6-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
38
AgeΔ 6 yrs
44
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
74"
ReachΔ 1"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
7.2
Layoff (months)Δ 131.1 mo
138.3
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Seth Baczynski is a submission threat — 0.75 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Brad Tavares rarely shoots — 0.70 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.35 Middleweight norm.
Seth Baczynski is wasteful with strikes at range — only 26% land, vs a 38% Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Brad Tavares

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1612
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.94 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Seth Baczynski

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 56
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 1711

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.19 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 40 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

12433.41/min · norm 3.23
Sig. strikes landed
3103.08/min · norm 3.17
12093.32/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
3163.14/min · norm 3.08
43.7%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
31.6%norm 44.75%
54.9%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
51.4%norm 55.25%
50.21/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.30/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Brad Tavares

Distance 89.6% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 2.3% (norm 10.0%)

Seth Baczynski

Distance 82.3% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 6.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Brad Tavares

Head 76.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.5% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 12.2% (norm 8.4%)

Seth Baczynski

Head 82.9% (norm 78.3%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.8% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Tavares L/AAccMiddleweight med Baczynski L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1049 / 2548 41.2% 40.5% 209 / 808 25.9% 38.5%
In the clinch 150 / 231 64.9% 70.6% 65 / 108 60.2% 67.8%
On the ground 44 / 65 67.7% 69.4% 36 / 66 54.5% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 738 / 2171 34.0% 38.8% 206 / 814 25.3% 36.4%
To the body 213 / 327 65.1% 71.6% 70 / 121 57.9% 70.7%
To the legs 292 / 346 84.4% 83.3% 34 / 47 72.3% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Tavares L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Baczynski L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 940 / 2281 41.2% 39.5% 209 / 495 42.2% 39.1%
In the clinch 201 / 317 63.4% 70.4% 67 / 94 71.3% 68.9%
On the ground 68 / 84 81.0% 69.0% 40 / 61 65.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 769 / 2047 37.6% 37.9% 150 / 455 33.0% 35.6%
To the body 190 / 305 62.3% 71.3% 81 / 93 87.1% 69.6%
To the legs 250 / 330 75.8% 82.1% 85 / 102 83.3% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1726.6% acc · 0.70/15 · norm 1.35
Takedowns landed
616.7% acc · 0.89/15 · norm 1.31
11480.3% def · norm 63.3%
Takedowns stopped
1548.4% def · norm 63.9%
46:3812.8% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
21:1321.1% of cage time · norm 18.5%
80:143:18 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control lower is better
33:264:59 per 15 · norm 3:15
00.00/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
50.75/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Tavares has more cage time on record.