BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Bobby Southworth vs.
Sam Hoger

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-1-0 Bobby Southworth · UFC
2-3-0 Sam Hoger · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-1-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
56.6
AgeΔ 10.5 yrs
46.1
6'2"
HeightΔ 0"
6'2"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
255.9
Layoff (months)Δ 21.9 mo
234
L
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Sam Hoger is a submission threat — 1.34 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Bobby Southworth is wasteful with head shots — only 9% land, vs a 39% Light Heavyweight norm.
Bobby Southworth defends head shots well — opponents land just 13%, vs a 38% Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Bobby Southworth

Full career not yet synced for Bobby Southworth — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Sam Hoger

Full career not yet synced for Sam Hoger — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

211.40/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
721.07/min · norm 3.41
221.47/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
1512.25/min · norm 3.35
25.0%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
25.0%norm 48.3%
81.5%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
57.1%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
10.22/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Bobby Southworth

Distance 96.4% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 1.2% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 10.4%)

Sam Hoger

Distance 81.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 7.6% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 11.1% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Bobby Southworth

Head 78.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 2.4% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 19.0% (norm 9.7%)

Sam Hoger

Head 80.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 14.6% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 4.5% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Southworth L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Hoger L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 19 / 81 23.5% 41.4% 52 / 234 22.2% 41.4%
In the clinch 1 / 1 too few to rate 70.9% 8 / 22 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 1 / 2 too few to rate 72.3% 12 / 32 37.5% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 6 / 66 9.1% 38.9% 45 / 233 19.3% 38.9%
To the body 1 / 2 too few to rate 71.9% 19 / 42 45.2% 71.9%
To the legs 14 / 16 too few to rate 81.8% 8 / 13 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Southworth L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Hoger L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 21 / 108 19.4% 40.4% 81 / 224 36.2% 40.4%
In the clinch 1 / 3 too few to rate 68.7% 20 / 38 52.6% 68.7%
On the ground 0 / 8 too few to rate 70.4% 50 / 90 55.6% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 12 / 95 12.6% 37.5% 108 / 297 36.4% 37.5%
To the body 5 / 17 too few to rate 72.3% 13 / 19 too few to rate 72.3%
To the legs 5 / 7 too few to rate 83.0% 30 / 36 83.3% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

150.0% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
538.5% acc · 1.12/15 · norm 0.87
1100.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
729.2% def · norm 66.7%
1:219.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
10:0014.9% of cage time · norm 16.5%
2:402:40 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
28:266:21 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
61.34/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hoger has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.