BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

BJ Penn vs.
Yair Rodriguez

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-13-2 BJ Penn · UFC
11-4-0 (1 NC) Yair Rodriguez · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-13-2
UFC record
11-4-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
47
AgeΔ 14 yrs
33
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
86.9
Layoff (months)Δ 71.1 mo
15.8
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Yair Rodriguez rarely shoots — 0.71 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Yair Rodriguez is a submission threat — 0.64 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

BJ Penn

Full career not yet synced for BJ Penn — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-13 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.6 wins over .500

Yair Rodriguez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 114
Tier 3 — regional circuit 91

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.3 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9992.80/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
9844.65/min · norm 3.54
12393.48/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
8013.78/min · norm 3.47
47.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
46.9%norm 45.0%
56.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
52.8%norm 54.85%
70.29/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
50.35/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

BJ Penn

Distance 75.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 13.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.9% (norm 8.0%)

Yair Rodriguez

Distance 84.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 4.4% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

BJ Penn

Head 88.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 7.9%)

Yair Rodriguez

Head 73.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 13.3% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 13.6% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Penn L/AAccLightweight med Rodriguez L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 628 / 1594 39.4% 37.9% 769 / 1761 43.7% 40.9%
In the clinch 210 / 279 75.3% 67.3% 64 / 93 68.8% 70.8%
On the ground 161 / 228 70.6% 69.1% 151 / 242 62.4% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 783 / 1848 42.4% 35.0% 544 / 1533 35.5% 37.2%
To the body 162 / 191 84.8% 69.1% 193 / 278 69.4% 68.2%
To the legs 54 / 62 87.1% 81.9% 247 / 285 86.7% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Penn L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Rodriguez L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 849 / 2259 37.6% 38.9% 532 / 1323 40.2% 39.2%
In the clinch 170 / 280 60.7% 68.6% 69 / 98 70.4% 70.3%
On the ground 220 / 334 65.9% 68.0% 200 / 276 72.5% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 793 / 2236 35.5% 35.1% 572 / 1376 41.6% 35.9%
To the body 242 / 360 67.2% 68.1% 136 / 181 75.1% 67.9%
To the legs 204 / 277 73.6% 81.5% 93 / 140 66.4% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2657.8% acc · 1.09/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1029.4% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.19
10976.2% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
4159.4% def · norm 61.5%
58:0516.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
17:538.4% of cage time · norm 16.7%
103:454:22 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
60:004:15 per 15 · norm 3:12
120.51/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
90.64/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Penn has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.