BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Bethe Correia vs.
Karol Rosa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-6-1 Bethe Correia · UFC
8-5-0 Karol Rosa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-6-1
UFC record
8-5-0
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
43.1
AgeΔ 11.5 yrs
31.6
5'5"
HeightΔ 0"
5'5"
64"
ReachΔ 3"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
58.1
Layoff (months)Δ 56.6 mo
1.5
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Karol Rosa carries real power — 0.15 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.08 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Bethe Correia rarely shoots — 0.39 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.91 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Karol Rosa outworks the Women's Bantamweight division — 5.47 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.56 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Bethe Correia

Full career not yet synced for Bethe Correia — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Karol Rosa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 3 — regional circuit 113

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.82 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6644.37/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
10665.47/min · norm 3.56
7504.93/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
8354.28/min · norm 3.51
43.8%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
55.6%norm 46.65%
56.0%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
49.5%norm 52.45%
00.00/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
20.15/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Bethe Correia

Distance 91.2% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 8.4% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 0.5% (norm 7.5%)

Karol Rosa

Distance 85.2% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 7.5% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 7.3% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Bethe Correia

Head 73.2% (norm 75.2%) · Body 16.4% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.8%)

Karol Rosa

Head 71.3% (norm 75.2%) · Body 8.9% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 19.8% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Correia L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Rosa L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 573 / 1381 41.5% 38.3% 853 / 1634 52.2% 38.3%
In the clinch 87 / 127 68.5% 73.3% 112 / 144 77.8% 73.3%
On the ground 4 / 7 too few to rate 70.8% 101 / 139 72.7% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 381 / 1109 34.4% 37.7% 623 / 1366 45.6% 37.7%
To the body 163 / 248 65.7% 70.0% 136 / 171 79.5% 70.0%
To the legs 120 / 158 75.9% 80.9% 307 / 380 80.8% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Correia L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Rosa L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 583 / 1487 39.2% 41.3% 710 / 1493 47.6% 41.3%
In the clinch 119 / 162 73.5% 74.7% 103 / 133 77.4% 74.7%
On the ground 48 / 57 84.2% 74.2% 22 / 28 78.6% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 505 / 1400 36.1% 38.1% 479 / 1216 39.4% 38.1%
To the body 153 / 201 76.1% 73.2% 195 / 250 78.0% 73.2%
To the legs 92 / 105 87.6% 80.9% 161 / 188 85.6% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

418.2% acc · 0.39/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
1448.3% acc · 1.08/15 · norm 0.91
1885.7% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
2773.0% def · norm 62.5%
19:3812.9% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
52:2026.8% of cage time · norm 26.55%
12:521:16 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
39:083:00 per 15 · norm 3:19
00.00/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
20.15/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rosa has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.