BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Bethe Correia vs.
Holly Holm

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-6-1 Bethe Correia · UFC
8-7-0 (1 NC) Holly Holm · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-6-1
UFC record
8-7-0 (1 NC)
Women's Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
43
AgeΔ 1 yrs
44
5'5"
HeightΔ 3"
5'8"
64"
ReachΔ 5"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
58.1
Layoff (months)Δ 30.3 mo
27.8
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LNCWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Bethe Correia rarely shoots — 0.39 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.91 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Holly Holm carries real power — 0.12 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.08 Women's Bantamweight norm.
Bethe Correia absorbs 4.93 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.51 Women's Bantamweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Bethe Correia

Full career not yet synced for Bethe Correia — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Holly Holm

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 97
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 30

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.11 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6644.37/min · norm 3.56
Sig. strikes landed
8053.13/min · norm 3.56
7504.93/min · norm 3.51
Sig. strikes absorbed
7502.92/min · norm 3.51
43.8%norm 46.65%
Striking accuracy
40.8%norm 46.65%
56.0%norm 52.45%
Striking defense
55.0%norm 52.45%
00.00/15 · norm 0.08
Knockdowns
20.12/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Bethe Correia

Distance 91.2% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 8.4% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 0.5% (norm 7.5%)

Holly Holm

Distance 89.4% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 4.5% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Bethe Correia

Head 73.2% (norm 75.2%) · Body 16.4% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 10.4% (norm 8.8%)

Holly Holm

Head 68.5% (norm 75.2%) · Body 18.6% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Correia L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med Holm L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 573 / 1381 41.5% 38.3% 659 / 1766 37.3% 38.3%
In the clinch 87 / 127 68.5% 73.3% 94 / 120 78.3% 73.3%
On the ground 4 / 7 too few to rate 70.8% 52 / 89 58.4% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 381 / 1109 34.4% 37.7% 377 / 1353 27.9% 37.7%
To the body 163 / 248 65.7% 70.0% 246 / 368 66.8% 70.0%
To the legs 120 / 158 75.9% 80.9% 182 / 254 71.7% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Correia L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med vs Holm L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 583 / 1487 39.2% 41.3% 531 / 1401 37.9% 41.3%
In the clinch 119 / 162 73.5% 74.7% 156 / 187 83.4% 74.7%
On the ground 48 / 57 84.2% 74.2% 63 / 79 79.7% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 505 / 1400 36.1% 38.1% 394 / 1154 34.1% 38.1%
To the body 153 / 201 76.1% 73.2% 206 / 301 68.4% 73.2%
To the legs 92 / 105 87.6% 80.9% 150 / 212 70.8% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

418.2% acc · 0.39/15 · norm 0.91
Takedowns landed
1530.0% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 0.91
1885.7% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
2976.3% def · norm 62.5%
19:3812.9% of cage time · norm 26.55%
Control time
61:5424.1% of cage time · norm 26.55%
12:521:16 per 15 · norm 3:19
Time under control
18:271:04 per 15 · norm 3:19
00.00/15 · norm 0.34
Submission attempts
10.06/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Holm has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.