Belal Muhammad vs. Chance Rencountre

UFC 15-6-0 (1 NC) vs. 2-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
15-6-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
2-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
38
AgeΔ 1 yrs
39
5'11"
HeightΔ 3"
6'2"
72"
ReachΔ 3"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
2
Layoff (months)Δ 79.1 mo
81.1
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Chance Rencountre's takedown defense leaks — 17% stopped, vs a 64% Welterweight norm.
Chance Rencountre is wasteful with head shots — only 11% land, vs a 37% Welterweight norm.
Belal Muhammad hunts takedowns — 1.98 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Belal Muhammad

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 176
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.39 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.5 wins over .500

Chance Rencountre

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 44
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 120

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 4 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15154.36/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
491.10/min · norm 3.17
13623.92/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1613.62/min · norm 3.06
42.4%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
20.5%norm 44.9%
55.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
49.4%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Belal Muhammad

Distance 91.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.0% (norm 8.1%)

Chance Rencountre

Distance 95.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Belal Muhammad

Head 86.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.1% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.3% (norm 8.4%)

Chance Rencountre

Head 75.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Muhammad L/AAccWelterweight med Rencountre L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1324 / 3270 40.5% 38.6% 43 / 228 18.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 72 / 124 58.1% 67.8% 4 / 4 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 119 / 178 66.9% 67.2% 2 / 7 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 1166 / 3095 37.7% 37.2% 20 / 181 11.0% 37.2%
To the body 219 / 324 67.6% 70.7% 19 / 46 41.3% 70.7%
To the legs 130 / 153 85.0% 82.9% 10 / 12 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Muhammad L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Rencountre L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1257 / 2896 43.4% 39.0% 139 / 291 47.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 68 / 86 79.1% 68.9% 15 / 20 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 37 / 57 64.9% 68.0% 7 / 7 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 780 / 2308 33.8% 35.6% 110 / 253 43.5% 35.6%
To the body 245 / 350 70.0% 69.6% 24 / 34 70.6% 69.6%
To the legs 337 / 381 88.5% 82.1% 27 / 31 87.1% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
4635.9% acc · 1.98/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
426.7% acc · 1.35/15 · norm 1.27
4890.6% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
116.7% def · norm 63.9%
76:1821.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
13:3730.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
18:530:48 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
2:340:51 per 15 · norm 3:15
30.13/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
10.34/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Muhammad has more cage time on record.