BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Bec Rawlings vs.
Lisa Ellis

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-5-0 Bec Rawlings · UFC
0-2-0 Lisa Ellis · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-5-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
37.5
AgeΔ 6.2 yrs
43.7
5'6"
HeightΔ 2"
5'4"
64"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
100
Layoff (months)Δ 34.9 mo
134.9
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Lisa Ellis is a submission threat — 1.23 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Lisa Ellis hunts takedowns — 3.68 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Bec Rawlings absorbs 5.66 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.94 Women's Strawweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Bec Rawlings

Full career not yet synced for Bec Rawlings — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Lisa Ellis

Full career not yet synced for Lisa Ellis — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3784.48/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
110.90/min · norm 3.77
4785.66/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
292.37/min · norm 3.94
42.8%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
50.0%norm 44.5%
57.3%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
46.3%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Bec Rawlings

Distance 86.3% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.9% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 5.0%)

Lisa Ellis

Distance 50.0% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 31.8% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Bec Rawlings

Head 81.5% (norm 76.4%) · Body 12.5% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 6.0% (norm 9.1%)

Lisa Ellis

Head 81.8% (norm 76.4%) · Body 18.2% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rawlings L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Ellis L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 293 / 762 38.5% 38.3% 3 / 11 too few to rate 38.3%
In the clinch 65 / 96 67.7% 72.6% 4 / 7 too few to rate 72.6%
On the ground 20 / 25 80.0% 75.0% 4 / 4 too few to rate 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 263 / 720 36.5% 35.4% 9 / 18 too few to rate 35.4%
To the body 67 / 110 60.9% 69.3% 2 / 4 too few to rate 69.3%
To the legs 48 / 53 90.6% 77.9% 0 / 0 too few to rate 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rawlings L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Ellis L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 393 / 997 39.4% 39.7% 5 / 20 too few to rate 39.7%
In the clinch 57 / 86 66.3% 71.5% 10 / 15 too few to rate 71.5%
On the ground 28 / 37 75.7% 74.4% 14 / 19 too few to rate 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 301 / 866 34.8% 36.0% 25 / 48 52.1% 36.0%
To the body 97 / 152 63.8% 68.4% 4 / 6 too few to rate 68.4%
To the legs 80 / 102 78.4% 79.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

440.0% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
350.0% acc · 3.68/15 · norm 1.10
1368.4% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
00.0% def · norm 64.1%
12:3714.9% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
4:0333.1% of cage time · norm 19.4%
20:043:33 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
7:098:46 per 15 · norm 3:00
20.36/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
11.23/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rawlings has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.