BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Azamat Murzakanov vs.
Paulo Costa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-1-0 Azamat Murzakanov · UFC
8-4-0 Paulo Costa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-1-0
UFC record
8-4-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
37
AgeΔ 2 yrs
35
5'10"
HeightΔ 3"
6'1"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
3.8
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
3.8
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Azamat Murzakanov carries real power — 1.42 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Paulo Costa outworks the Middleweight division — 6.15 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Paulo Costa absorbs 5.96 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Azamat Murzakanov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 71
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.88 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 16 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Paulo Costa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 84
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.48 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2834.47/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
9346.15/min · norm 3.25
2083.29/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
9045.96/min · norm 3.20
56.5%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
59.3%norm 47.4%
55.8%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
49.4%norm 53.8%
61.42/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
60.59/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Azamat Murzakanov

Distance 78.8% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 4.4% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 16.8% (norm 10.4%)

Paulo Costa

Distance 90.7% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 3.9% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Azamat Murzakanov

Head 80.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 17.6% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 2.4% (norm 9.7%)

Paulo Costa

Head 61.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 29.2% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Murzakanov L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Costa L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 196 / 395 49.6% 41.4% 826 / 1430 57.8% 40.5%
In the clinch 18 / 22 too few to rate 70.9% 49 / 62 79.0% 70.3%
On the ground 69 / 84 82.1% 72.3% 59 / 84 70.2% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 201 / 401 50.1% 38.9% 422 / 966 43.7% 38.9%
To the body 71 / 88 80.7% 71.9% 379 / 460 82.4% 71.7%
To the legs 11 / 12 too few to rate 81.8% 133 / 150 88.7% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Murzakanov L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Costa L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 183 / 438 41.8% 40.4% 836 / 1695 49.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 20 / 26 76.9% 68.7% 58 / 80 72.5% 70.9%
On the ground 5 / 7 too few to rate 70.4% 10 / 12 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 98 / 319 30.7% 37.5% 588 / 1359 43.3% 37.9%
To the body 50 / 76 65.8% 72.3% 195 / 293 66.6% 71.3%
To the legs 60 / 76 78.9% 83.0% 121 / 135 89.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

321.4% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
342.9% acc · 0.30/15 · norm 1.42
888.9% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2177.8% def · norm 63.1%
6:089.7% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
8:245.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
6:331:33 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
6:210:37 per 15 · norm 3:00
10.24/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Costa has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.