BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Austin Hubbard vs.
Vinc Pichel

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-8-0 Austin Hubbard · UFC
7-5-0 Vinc Pichel · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-8-0
UFC record
7-5-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
34.6
AgeΔ 9.1 yrs
43.7
5'10"
HeightΔ 0"
5'10"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
11.4
Layoff (months)Δ 4.9 mo
16.3
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Vinc Pichel hunts takedowns — 2.50 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Vinc Pichel's takedown defense leaks — 32% stopped, vs a 64% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Austin Hubbard

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 48
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 103

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.48 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Vinc Pichel

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 75
Tier 3 — regional circuit 70

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.13 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6223.97/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
5673.78/min · norm 3.42
6414.10/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
4753.17/min · norm 3.37
42.0%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
46.1%norm 43.5%
55.2%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
54.8%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.10/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Austin Hubbard

Distance 92.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.2% (norm 8.0%)

Vinc Pichel

Distance 80.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Austin Hubbard

Head 70.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 19.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 7.9%)

Vinc Pichel

Head 67.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 16.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Hubbard L/AAccLightweight med Pichel L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 548 / 1363 40.2% 37.9% 379 / 984 38.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 40 / 70 57.1% 67.3% 103 / 123 83.7% 67.3%
On the ground 34 / 47 72.3% 69.1% 85 / 123 69.1% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 326 / 1044 31.2% 35.0% 259 / 826 31.4% 35.0%
To the body 176 / 295 59.7% 69.1% 144 / 207 69.6% 69.1%
To the legs 120 / 141 85.1% 81.9% 164 / 197 83.2% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Hubbard L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Pichel L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 560 / 1330 42.1% 38.9% 382 / 924 41.3% 38.9%
In the clinch 45 / 57 78.9% 68.6% 51 / 70 72.9% 68.6%
On the ground 36 / 43 83.7% 68.0% 42 / 57 73.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 376 / 1070 35.1% 35.1% 314 / 841 37.3% 35.1%
To the body 117 / 184 63.6% 68.1% 94 / 135 69.6% 68.1%
To the legs 148 / 176 84.1% 81.5% 67 / 75 89.3% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1728.8% acc · 1.63/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
2551.0% acc · 2.50/15 · norm 1.38
3068.2% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1231.6% def · norm 64.0%
27:1917.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
36:4024.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
25:352:27 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
28:072:48 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.10/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
20.20/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hubbard has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.