BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ateba Gautier vs.
Ozzy Diaz

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-0-0 Ateba Gautier · UFC
1-2-0 Ozzy Diaz · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-0-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
24.3
AgeΔ 11.4 yrs
35.7
6'4"
HeightΔ 0"
6'4"
81"
ReachΔ 2"
79"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
2.9
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
2.9
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ateba Gautier carries real power — 3.27 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Ozzy Diaz absorbs 7.25 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.20 Middleweight norm — hittable.
Ozzy Diaz rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ateba Gautier

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 60
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.9 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 12 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.6 wins over .500

Ozzy Diaz

Full career not yet synced for Ozzy Diaz — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1103.99/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
1506.36/min · norm 3.25
843.05/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
1717.25/min · norm 3.20
37.5%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
51.2%norm 47.4%
53.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
62.9%norm 53.8%
63.27/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ateba Gautier

Distance 91.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.8% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 2.7% (norm 10.3%)

Ozzy Diaz

Distance 98.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 2.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ateba Gautier

Head 86.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 1.4% (norm 8.4%)

Ozzy Diaz

Head 90.4% (norm 78.0%) · Body 6.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 2.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gautier L/AAccMiddleweight med Diaz L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 93 / 268 34.7% 40.5% 145 / 287 50.5% 40.5%
In the clinch 12 / 17 too few to rate 70.3% 5 / 6 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 5 / 8 too few to rate 69.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 83 / 254 32.7% 38.9% 128 / 265 48.3% 38.9%
To the body 23 / 35 65.7% 71.7% 15 / 20 too few to rate 71.7%
To the legs 4 / 4 too few to rate 83.3% 7 / 8 too few to rate 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gautier L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Diaz L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 82 / 180 45.6% 39.5% 165 / 447 36.9% 39.5%
In the clinch 2 / 2 too few to rate 70.9% 1 / 2 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.0% 5 / 12 too few to rate 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 46 / 125 36.8% 37.9% 139 / 416 33.4% 37.9%
To the body 26 / 42 61.9% 71.3% 16 / 29 55.2% 71.3%
To the legs 12 / 15 too few to rate 82.1% 16 / 16 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1100.0% acc · 0.54/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
5100.0% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
266.7% def · norm 63.1%
0:050.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
1:034.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
1:090:37 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
0:310:19 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gautier has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.