BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ashkan Mokhtarian vs.
John Moraga

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-2-0 Ashkan Mokhtarian · UFC
8-6-0 John Moraga · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-2-0
UFC record
8-6-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
40.9
AgeΔ 1.5 yrs
42.4
5'6"
HeightΔ 0"
5'6"
67"
ReachΔ 1"
66"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
104.6
Layoff (months)Δ 9.2 mo
95.4
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

John Moraga is a submission threat — 1.07 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.58 Flyweight norm.
Ashkan Mokhtarian rarely shoots — 0.54 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Opponents land 54% of their head shots on Ashkan Mokhtarian, vs a 35% Flyweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ashkan Mokhtarian

Full career not yet synced for Ashkan Mokhtarian — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.5 wins over .500

John Moraga

Full career not yet synced for John Moraga — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

541.95/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
4332.57/min · norm 3.49
1013.66/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
4292.55/min · norm 3.24
43.5%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
43.5%norm 44.6%
43.9%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
56.4%norm 56.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
20.18/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ashkan Mokhtarian

Distance 97.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 0.8% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 1.6% (norm 7.3%)

John Moraga

Distance 77.3% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 11.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 11.4% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ashkan Mokhtarian

Head 66.1% (norm 75.9%) · Body 16.1% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 17.7% (norm 9.3%)

John Moraga

Head 72.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.1% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 10.7% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Mokhtarian L/AAccFlyweight med Moraga L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 51 / 121 42.1% 40.0% 254 / 769 33.0% 40.0%
In the clinch 1 / 1 too few to rate 70.4% 82 / 113 72.6% 70.4%
On the ground 2 / 2 too few to rate 69.7% 97 / 113 85.8% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 22 / 82 26.8% 37.6% 242 / 719 33.7% 37.6%
To the body 13 / 20 too few to rate 68.5% 109 / 170 64.1% 68.5%
To the legs 19 / 22 too few to rate 80.0% 82 / 106 77.4% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Mokhtarian L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Moraga L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 55 / 121 45.5% 40.1% 278 / 778 35.7% 40.1%
In the clinch 6 / 11 too few to rate 68.8% 52 / 81 64.2% 68.8%
On the ground 40 / 48 83.3% 71.1% 99 / 126 78.6% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 86 / 159 54.1% 35.2% 220 / 707 31.1% 35.2%
To the body 11 / 17 too few to rate 68.2% 99 / 147 67.3% 68.2%
To the legs 4 / 4 too few to rate 80.3% 110 / 131 84.0% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

116.7% acc · 0.54/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
723.3% acc · 0.62/15 · norm 1.30
133.3% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
2944.6% def · norm 62.5%
2:309.0% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
24:2614.5% of cage time · norm 17.0%
7:494:14 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
53:354:46 per 15 · norm 2:44
00.00/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
121.07/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Moraga has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.