BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Arnold Allen vs.
Movsar Evloev

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-3-0 Arnold Allen · UFC
10-0-0 Movsar Evloev · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-3-0
UFC record
10-0-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
32
AgeΔ 0 yrs
32
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
70"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
2.7
Layoff (months)Δ 1.9 mo
4.6
WLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Movsar Evloev hunts takedowns — 4.78 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Movsar Evloev owns the mat — in control 36% of cage time, vs a 17% Featherweight norm.
Arnold Allen is wasteful with clinch strikes — only 50% land, vs a 71% Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Arnold Allen

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 123
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 51
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.69 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500

Movsar Evloev

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 100
Tier 3 — regional circuit 100

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.78 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7653.52/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
6253.91/min · norm 3.54
6843.15/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
4482.80/min · norm 3.47
44.0%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
47.6%norm 45.0%
60.2%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
61.3%norm 54.85%
40.28/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Arnold Allen

Distance 92.4% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 6.5%)

Movsar Evloev

Distance 85.4% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.0% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 9.5% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Arnold Allen

Head 82.7% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.0% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.3% (norm 7.8%)

Movsar Evloev

Head 86.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 8.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 5.2% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Allen L/AAccFeatherweight med Evloev L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 681 / 1606 42.4% 40.9% 470 / 1121 41.9% 40.9%
In the clinch 30 / 60 50.0% 70.8% 50 / 66 75.8% 70.8%
On the ground 54 / 73 74.0% 69.2% 105 / 125 84.0% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 562 / 1438 39.1% 37.2% 479 / 1128 42.5% 37.2%
To the body 138 / 209 66.0% 68.2% 94 / 116 81.0% 68.2%
To the legs 65 / 92 70.7% 80.7% 52 / 68 76.5% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Allen L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Evloev L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 615 / 1617 38.0% 39.2% 379 / 1067 35.5% 39.2%
In the clinch 52 / 80 65.0% 70.3% 39 / 49 79.6% 70.3%
On the ground 17 / 22 too few to rate 69.4% 30 / 41 73.2% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 378 / 1305 29.0% 35.9% 275 / 909 30.3% 35.9%
To the body 166 / 245 67.8% 67.9% 121 / 178 68.0% 67.9%
To the legs 140 / 169 82.8% 81.5% 52 / 70 74.3% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1860.0% acc · 1.24/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
5152.6% acc · 4.78/15 · norm 1.19
5773.1% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
2261.1% def · norm 61.5%
32:0314.8% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
57:0635.7% of cage time · norm 16.7%
28:311:58 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
12:071:08 per 15 · norm 3:12
40.28/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
20.19/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Allen has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.