BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Antonio Carvalho vs.
Rodrigo Damm

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-2-0 Antonio Carvalho · UFC
3-4-0 Rodrigo Damm · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-2-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
47.2
AgeΔ 0.7 yrs
46.5
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'7"
70"
ReachΔ 1"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
160.7
Layoff (months)Δ 21.6 mo
139.1
LWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Antonio Carvalho rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Rodrigo Damm absorbs 5.90 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Lightweight norm — hittable.
Rodrigo Damm rarely shoots — 0.50 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Antonio Carvalho

Full career not yet synced for Antonio Carvalho — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Rodrigo Damm

Full career not yet synced for Rodrigo Damm — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1043.03/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
3463.86/min · norm 3.42
1243.62/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
5295.90/min · norm 3.37
29.5%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
36.6%norm 43.5%
65.0%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
57.7%norm 56.3%
10.44/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Antonio Carvalho

Distance 94.1% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.1% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 6.5%)

Rodrigo Damm

Distance 97.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 1.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.5% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Antonio Carvalho

Head 77.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 4.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 18.4% (norm 7.8%)

Rodrigo Damm

Head 83.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Carvalho L/AAccFeatherweight med Damm L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 92 / 332 27.7% 40.9% 332 / 923 36.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 7 / 11 too few to rate 70.8% 11 / 17 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 5 / 10 too few to rate 69.2% 3 / 5 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 45 / 272 16.5% 37.2% 246 / 792 31.1% 35.0%
To the body 9 / 16 too few to rate 68.2% 40 / 69 58.0% 69.1%
To the legs 50 / 65 76.9% 80.7% 60 / 84 71.4% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Carvalho L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Damm L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 108 / 327 33.0% 39.2% 505 / 1213 41.6% 38.9%
In the clinch 12 / 20 too few to rate 70.3% 18 / 31 58.1% 68.6%
On the ground 4 / 7 too few to rate 69.4% 6 / 8 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 80 / 283 28.3% 35.9% 331 / 969 34.2% 35.1%
To the body 22 / 29 75.9% 67.9% 99 / 159 62.3% 68.1%
To the legs 22 / 42 52.4% 81.5% 99 / 124 79.8% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
317.6% acc · 0.50/15 · norm 1.38
2100.0% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
1191.7% def · norm 64.0%
2:287.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
4:365.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
3:191:27 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
3:200:33 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
20.33/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Damm has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.