BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Antonio Carvalho vs.
Felipe Arantes

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-2-0 Antonio Carvalho · UFC
5-6-1 Felipe Arantes · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-2-0
UFC record
5-6-1
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
47.2
AgeΔ 8.7 yrs
38.5
5'9"
HeightΔ 1"
5'8"
70"
ReachΔ 3"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
160.7
Layoff (months)Δ 63.3 mo
97.4
LWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Antonio Carvalho rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.19 Featherweight norm.
Felipe Arantes is a submission threat — 0.73 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.46 Featherweight norm.
Antonio Carvalho is wasteful with head shots — only 17% land, vs a 37% Featherweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Antonio Carvalho

Full career not yet synced for Antonio Carvalho — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Felipe Arantes

Full career not yet synced for Felipe Arantes — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1043.03/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
3422.37/min · norm 3.54
1243.62/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
3842.66/min · norm 3.47
29.5%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
45.1%norm 45.0%
65.0%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
64.1%norm 54.85%
10.44/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
10.10/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Antonio Carvalho

Distance 94.1% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.1% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 6.5%)

Felipe Arantes

Distance 79.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 5.9% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 15.0% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Antonio Carvalho

Head 77.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 4.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 18.4% (norm 7.8%)

Felipe Arantes

Head 77.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 12.8% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 9.8% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Carvalho L/AAccFeatherweight med Arantes L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 92 / 332 27.7% 40.9% 239 / 599 39.9% 40.9%
In the clinch 7 / 11 too few to rate 70.8% 24 / 45 53.3% 70.8%
On the ground 5 / 10 too few to rate 69.2% 79 / 114 69.3% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 45 / 272 16.5% 37.2% 219 / 587 37.3% 37.2%
To the body 9 / 16 too few to rate 68.2% 61 / 97 62.9% 68.2%
To the legs 50 / 65 76.9% 80.7% 62 / 74 83.8% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Carvalho L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Arantes L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 108 / 327 33.0% 39.2% 233 / 796 29.3% 39.2%
In the clinch 12 / 20 too few to rate 70.3% 42 / 71 59.2% 70.3%
On the ground 4 / 7 too few to rate 69.4% 109 / 202 54.0% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 80 / 283 28.3% 35.9% 224 / 834 26.9% 35.9%
To the body 22 / 29 75.9% 67.9% 116 / 178 65.2% 67.9%
To the legs 22 / 42 52.4% 81.5% 44 / 57 77.2% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
947.4% acc · 0.93/15 · norm 1.19
2100.0% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
1741.5% def · norm 61.5%
2:287.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
25:2917.6% of cage time · norm 16.7%
3:191:27 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
48:395:02 per 15 · norm 3:12
00.00/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
70.73/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Arantes has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.