Antonio Carvalho vs.
Darren Elkins
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Antonio Carvalho
Full career not yet synced for Antonio Carvalho — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500
Darren Elkins
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 19 | 11 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 10 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.15 · 19 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 41 documented bouts
In the UFC: 13-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Antonio Carvalho
Distance 94.1% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.1% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 6.5%)
Darren Elkins
Distance 75.8% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 11.7% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 12.4% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Antonio Carvalho
Head 77.1% (norm 77.4%) · Body 4.5% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 18.4% (norm 7.8%)
Darren Elkins
Head 86.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.6% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 2.2% (norm 7.8%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Carvalho L/A | Acc | Featherweight med | Elkins L/A | Acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 92 / 332 | 27.7% | 40.9% | 685 / 2348 | 29.2% | 40.9% |
| In the clinch | 7 / 11 | too few to rate | 70.8% | 242 / 363 | 66.7% | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 5 / 10 | too few to rate | 69.2% | 263 / 385 | 68.3% | 69.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 45 / 272 | 16.5% | 37.2% | 904 / 2670 | 33.9% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 9 / 16 | too few to rate | 68.2% | 235 / 359 | 65.5% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 50 / 65 | 76.9% | 80.7% | 51 / 67 | 76.1% | 80.7% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Carvalho L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med | vs Elkins L/A | Opp acc | Featherweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 108 / 327 | 33.0% | 39.2% | 817 / 1924 | 42.5% | 39.2% |
| In the clinch | 12 / 20 | too few to rate | 70.3% | 166 / 227 | 73.1% | 70.3% |
| On the ground | 4 / 7 | too few to rate | 69.4% | 186 / 244 | 76.2% | 69.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 80 / 283 | 28.3% | 35.9% | 853 / 1992 | 42.8% | 35.9% |
| To the body | 22 / 29 | 75.9% | 67.9% | 182 / 245 | 74.3% | 67.9% |
| To the legs | 22 / 42 | 52.4% | 81.5% | 134 / 158 | 84.8% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Elkins has more cage time on record.