Antonio Carlos Junior vs. Patrick Cummins
Tale of the tape
The read
Level of competition
Antonio Carlos Junior
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 15 | 6 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 4 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.52 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 27 documented bouts
In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500
Patrick Cummins
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 7 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 4 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 17 documented bouts
In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500
Striking
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Antonio Carlos Junior
Distance 78.6% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 15.4% (norm 10.0%)
Patrick Cummins
Distance 61.5% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 26.3% (norm 10.6%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Antonio Carlos Junior
Head 82.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.6% (norm 8.4%)
Patrick Cummins
Head 88.4% (norm 78.5%) · Body 6.9% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 4.7% (norm 9.7%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Junior L/A | Acc | Middleweight med | Cummins L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 187 / 535 | 35.0% | 40.5% | 224 / 603 | 37.1% | 41.5% |
| In the clinch | 29 / 41 | 70.7% | 70.6% | 85 / 120 | 70.8% | 70.8% |
| On the ground | 74 / 105 | 70.5% | 69.4% | 189 / 258 | 73.3% | 72.9% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 196 / 564 | 34.8% | 38.8% | 409 / 867 | 47.2% | 39.2% |
| To the body | 52 / 72 | 72.2% | 71.6% | 51 / 68 | 75.0% | 72.0% |
| To the legs | 42 / 45 | 93.3% | 83.3% | 38 / 46 | 82.6% | 82.1% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 178 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Junior L/A | Opp acc | Middleweight med | vs Cummins L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 146 / 430 | 34.0% | 39.5% | 281 / 739 | 38.0% | 40.6% |
| In the clinch | 18 / 26 | 69.2% | 70.4% | 57 / 82 | 69.5% | 68.8% |
| On the ground | 155 / 220 | 70.5% | 69.0% | 53 / 65 | 81.5% | 70.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 230 / 550 | 41.8% | 37.9% | 326 / 798 | 40.9% | 37.7% |
| To the body | 33 / 52 | 63.5% | 71.3% | 45 / 61 | 73.8% | 72.9% |
| To the legs | 56 / 74 | 75.7% | 82.1% | 20 / 27 | 74.1% | 83.1% |
Grappling
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Junior has more cage time on record.