BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Antonio Carlos Junior vs.
Jack Marshman

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-5-0 (1 NC) Antonio Carlos Junior · UFC
3-5-0 Jack Marshman · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-5-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
3-5-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
36.4
AgeΔ 0.2 yrs
36.6
6'2"
HeightΔ 2"
6'0"
79"
ReachΔ 6"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
66.4
Layoff (months)Δ 2.8 mo
69.2
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Antonio Carlos Junior hunts takedowns — 3.42 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Antonio Carlos Junior owns the mat — in control 47% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Jack Marshman rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Antonio Carlos Junior

Full career not yet synced for Antonio Carlos Junior — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Jack Marshman

Full career not yet synced for Jack Marshman — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2901.95/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
2242.74/min · norm 3.25
3192.14/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
3424.19/min · norm 3.20
42.6%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
25.6%norm 47.4%
52.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
56.5%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
30.55/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Antonio Carlos Junior

Distance 78.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.4% (norm 10.3%)

Jack Marshman

Distance 96.9% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 1.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.9% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Antonio Carlos Junior

Head 82.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.6% (norm 8.4%)

Jack Marshman

Head 80.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 5.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Junior L/AAccMiddleweight med Marshman L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 187 / 535 35.0% 40.5% 209 / 848 24.6% 40.5%
In the clinch 29 / 41 70.7% 70.3% 5 / 10 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 74 / 105 70.5% 69.1% 10 / 17 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 196 / 564 34.8% 38.9% 144 / 708 20.3% 38.9%
To the body 52 / 72 72.2% 71.7% 50 / 117 42.7% 71.7%
To the legs 42 / 45 93.3% 83.3% 30 / 50 60.0% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Junior L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Marshman L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 146 / 430 34.0% 39.5% 278 / 687 40.5% 39.5%
In the clinch 18 / 26 69.2% 70.9% 24 / 32 75.0% 70.9%
On the ground 155 / 220 70.5% 69.0% 40 / 68 58.8% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 230 / 550 41.8% 37.9% 244 / 646 37.8% 37.9%
To the body 33 / 52 63.5% 71.3% 61 / 100 61.0% 71.3%
To the legs 56 / 74 75.7% 82.1% 37 / 41 90.2% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3439.1% acc · 3.42/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
853.3% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
220.0% def · norm 63.1%
70:1447.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
0:160.3% of cage time · norm 19.75%
26:012:37 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
17:173:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
80.81/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Junior has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.