BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Antonio Carlos Junior vs.
Ian Heinisch

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-5-0 (1 NC) Antonio Carlos Junior · UFC
3-4-0 Ian Heinisch · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-5-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
3-4-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
36
AgeΔ 2 yrs
38
6'2"
HeightΔ 3"
5'11"
79"
ReachΔ 7"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
66.4
Layoff (months)Δ 6 mo
60.4
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Antonio Carlos Junior hunts takedowns — 3.42 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Antonio Carlos Junior owns the mat — in control 47% of cage time, vs a 20% Middleweight norm.
Ian Heinisch is a submission threat — 0.71 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Antonio Carlos Junior

Full career not yet synced for Antonio Carlos Junior — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Ian Heinisch

Full career not yet synced for Ian Heinisch — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2901.95/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
2763.27/min · norm 3.25
3192.14/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
2573.05/min · norm 3.20
42.6%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
50.0%norm 47.4%
52.8%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
59.1%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
20.36/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Antonio Carlos Junior

Distance 78.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 6.0% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 15.4% (norm 10.3%)

Ian Heinisch

Distance 78.4% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 8.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Antonio Carlos Junior

Head 82.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.6% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 6.6% (norm 8.4%)

Ian Heinisch

Head 70.1% (norm 78.0%) · Body 14.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 15.2% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Junior L/AAccMiddleweight med Heinisch L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 187 / 535 35.0% 40.5% 191 / 433 44.1% 40.5%
In the clinch 29 / 41 70.7% 70.3% 33 / 48 68.8% 70.3%
On the ground 74 / 105 70.5% 69.1% 52 / 71 73.2% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 196 / 564 34.8% 38.9% 158 / 387 40.8% 38.9%
To the body 52 / 72 72.2% 71.7% 50 / 81 61.7% 71.7%
To the legs 42 / 45 93.3% 83.3% 68 / 84 81.0% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Junior L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Heinisch L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 146 / 430 34.0% 39.5% 210 / 555 37.8% 39.5%
In the clinch 18 / 26 69.2% 70.9% 34 / 43 79.1% 70.9%
On the ground 155 / 220 70.5% 69.0% 13 / 31 41.9% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 230 / 550 41.8% 37.9% 172 / 499 34.5% 37.9%
To the body 33 / 52 63.5% 71.3% 59 / 100 59.0% 71.3%
To the legs 56 / 74 75.7% 82.1% 26 / 30 86.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3439.1% acc · 3.42/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
617.1% acc · 1.07/15 · norm 1.42
853.3% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
3160.8% def · norm 63.1%
70:1447.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
11:0813.2% of cage time · norm 19.75%
26:012:37 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
23:284:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
80.81/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
40.71/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Junior has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.