BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Antonina Shevchenko vs.
Cortney Casey

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 Antonina Shevchenko · UFC
6-9-0 Cortney Casey · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
6-9-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
41
AgeΔ 2 yrs
39
5'8"
HeightΔ 1"
5'7"
67"
ReachΔ 0"
67"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
48.9
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
48.9
WLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cortney Casey rarely shoots — 0.39 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Cortney Casey is a submission threat — 0.47 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Antonina Shevchenko rarely shoots — 0.47 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Antonina Shevchenko

Full career not yet synced for Antonina Shevchenko — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Cortney Casey

Full career not yet synced for Cortney Casey — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3283.43/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
8164.29/min · norm 3.77
2903.04/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
7614.00/min · norm 3.94
53.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
39.1%norm 44.5%
52.8%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
55.2%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Antonina Shevchenko

Distance 76.4% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 13.0% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 10.6% (norm 4.9%)

Cortney Casey

Distance 87.9% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Antonina Shevchenko

Head 75.8% (norm 78.1%) · Body 17.6% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 6.7% (norm 7.7%)

Cortney Casey

Head 82.6% (norm 76.4%) · Body 7.2% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 10.2% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Shevchenko L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Casey L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 218 / 470 46.4% 39.9% 640 / 1832 34.9% 38.3%
In the clinch 65 / 80 81.2% 73.3% 95 / 142 66.9% 72.6%
On the ground 45 / 65 69.2% 74.7% 81 / 111 73.0% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 211 / 466 45.3% 34.9% 558 / 1722 32.4% 35.4%
To the body 80 / 108 74.1% 69.5% 87 / 150 58.0% 69.3%
To the legs 37 / 41 90.2% 82.6% 171 / 213 80.3% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Shevchenko L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Casey L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 139 / 425 32.7% 38.8% 607 / 1453 41.8% 39.7%
In the clinch 32 / 42 76.2% 74.1% 78 / 126 61.9% 71.5%
On the ground 119 / 148 80.4% 73.4% 76 / 118 64.4% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 207 / 490 42.2% 35.3% 459 / 1290 35.6% 36.0%
To the body 45 / 67 67.2% 69.0% 144 / 218 66.1% 68.4%
To the legs 38 / 58 65.5% 78.7% 158 / 189 83.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

342.9% acc · 0.47/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
531.3% acc · 0.39/15 · norm 1.10
1648.5% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1939.6% def · norm 64.1%
22:1923.4% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
11:015.8% of cage time · norm 19.4%
34:585:29 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
59:424:42 per 15 · norm 3:00
30.47/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
60.47/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Casey has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.