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Anthony Smith vs. Thiago Santos

UFC 13-12-0 vs. 14-10-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
13-12-0
UFC record
14-10-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
38
AgeΔ 4 yrs
42
6'4"
HeightΔ 2"
6'2"
76"
ReachΔ 0"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
17.8
Layoff (months)Δ 32.7 mo
50.5
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Thiago Santos carries real power — 0.88 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Anthony Smith is a submission threat — 0.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Light Heavyweight norm.
Anthony Smith absorbs 5.19 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.37 Light Heavyweight norm — hittable.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Anthony Smith

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1512
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 2310

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.69 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 36 finish wins over 61 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Thiago Santos

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1412
Tier 3 — regional circuit 91

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.96 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 37 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.6 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8403.24/min · norm 3.48
Sig. strikes landed
8883.72/min · norm 3.23
13475.19/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
6142.57/min · norm 3.20
50.1%norm 48.45%
Striking accuracy
48.2%norm 47.4%
44.4%norm 52.75%
Striking defense
53.9%norm 53.8%
70.40/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
140.88/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Anthony Smith

Distance 91.7% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 10.6%)

Thiago Santos

Distance 69.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 9.0%) · Ground 20.5% (norm 10.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Anthony Smith

Head 75.6% (norm 78.5%) · Body 13.8% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 9.7%)

Thiago Santos

Head 65.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 16.8% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 17.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Smith L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Santos L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 739 / 1539 48.0% 41.5% 512 / 1285 39.8% 40.5%
In the clinch 64 / 89 71.9% 70.8% 150 / 181 82.9% 70.6%
On the ground 37 / 50 74.0% 72.9% 226 / 378 59.8% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 527 / 1268 41.6% 39.2% 455 / 1216 37.4% 38.8%
To the body 155 / 232 66.8% 72.0% 204 / 309 66.0% 71.6%
To the legs 158 / 178 88.8% 82.1% 229 / 319 71.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters · Middleweight: 178 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Smith L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Santos L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 835 / 1752 47.7% 40.6% 417 / 1085 38.4% 39.5%
In the clinch 117 / 170 68.8% 68.8% 87 / 110 79.1% 70.4%
On the ground 395 / 500 79.0% 70.4% 110 / 138 79.7% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 810 / 1762 46.0% 37.7% 330 / 914 36.1% 37.9%
To the body 210 / 294 71.4% 72.9% 141 / 215 65.6% 71.3%
To the legs 327 / 366 89.3% 83.1% 143 / 204 70.1% 82.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
822.9% acc · 0.46/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1433.3% acc · 0.88/15 · norm 1.35
2450.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
3865.5% def · norm 63.3%
16:236.3% of cage time · norm 17.1%
Control time
31:3813.2% of cage time · norm 19.4%
82:234:45 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
39:232:28 per 15 · norm 3:00
80.46/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
10.06/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Smith has more cage time on record.