Skip to content

Anthony Smith vs. Alexander Gustafsson

UFC 13-12-0 vs. 10-8-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
13-12-0
UFC record
10-8-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
38
AgeΔ 1 yrs
39
6'4"
HeightΔ 1"
6'5"
76"
ReachΔ 3"
79"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
17.8
Layoff (months)Δ 33.1 mo
50.9
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Alexander Gustafsson carries real power — 0.72 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Alexander Gustafsson hunts takedowns — 1.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Anthony Smith is a submission threat — 0.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Light Heavyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Anthony Smith

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1512
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 2310

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.69 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 36 finish wins over 61 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Alexander Gustafsson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 138
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.29 · 13 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 8-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.9 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8403.24/min · norm 3.48
Sig. strikes landed
7514.03/min · norm 3.48
13475.19/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
6593.53/min · norm 3.37
50.1%norm 48.45%
Striking accuracy
40.7%norm 48.45%
44.4%norm 52.75%
Striking defense
51.4%norm 52.75%
70.40/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
90.72/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Anthony Smith

Distance 91.7% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 10.6%)

Alexander Gustafsson

Distance 85.8% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 8.5% (norm 10.6%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Anthony Smith

Head 75.6% (norm 78.5%) · Body 13.8% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 9.7%)

Alexander Gustafsson

Head 80.4% (norm 78.5%) · Body 11.1% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 8.5% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Smith L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Gustafsson L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 739 / 1539 48.0% 41.5% 575 / 1583 36.3% 41.5%
In the clinch 64 / 89 71.9% 70.8% 59 / 106 55.7% 70.8%
On the ground 37 / 50 74.0% 72.9% 117 / 156 75.0% 72.9%
BY TARGET
To the head 527 / 1268 41.6% 39.2% 523 / 1484 35.2% 39.2%
To the body 155 / 232 66.8% 72.0% 110 / 205 53.7% 72.0%
To the legs 158 / 178 88.8% 82.1% 118 / 156 75.6% 82.1%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Smith L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Gustafsson L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 835 / 1752 47.7% 40.6% 496 / 1131 43.9% 40.6%
In the clinch 117 / 170 68.8% 68.8% 101 / 148 68.2% 68.8%
On the ground 395 / 500 79.0% 70.4% 62 / 78 79.5% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 810 / 1762 46.0% 37.7% 398 / 992 40.1% 37.7%
To the body 210 / 294 71.4% 72.9% 102 / 162 63.0% 72.9%
To the legs 327 / 366 89.3% 83.1% 159 / 203 78.3% 83.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
822.9% acc · 0.46/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1939.6% acc · 1.53/15 · norm 0.87
2450.0% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
4183.7% def · norm 66.7%
16:236.3% of cage time · norm 17.1%
Control time
30:4416.5% of cage time · norm 17.1%
82:234:45 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
17:541:26 per 15 · norm 2:50
80.46/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
50.40/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Smith has more cage time on record.