BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Andrei Arlovski vs.
Stipe Miocic

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

23-18-0 (1 NC) Andrei Arlovski · UFC
14-5-0 Stipe Miocic · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

23-18-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
14-5-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
47.5
AgeΔ 3.5 yrs
44
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'4"
77"
ReachΔ 3"
80"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
25.2
Layoff (months)Δ 4.6 mo
20.6
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Stipe Miocic hunts takedowns — 1.74 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Stipe Miocic carries real power — 0.49 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Andrei Arlovski rarely shoots — 0.33 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Andrei Arlovski

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2318
Tier 3 — regional circuit 106

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.69 · 23 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 59 documented bouts

In the UFC: 15-16 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Stipe Miocic

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 145
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 25 documented bouts

In the UFC: 13-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +6.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15853.87/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
10074.67/min · norm 3.36
13463.28/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
8654.01/min · norm 3.19
45.6%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
52.7%norm 47.8%
56.8%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
52.3%norm 52.5%
100.37/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
70.49/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Andrei Arlovski

Distance 90.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 1.8% (norm 9.3%)

Stipe Miocic

Distance 79.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.4% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 11.5% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Andrei Arlovski

Head 72.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 13.5% (norm 7.6%)

Stipe Miocic

Head 84.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 8.3% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 7.3% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Arlovski L/AAccHeavyweight med Miocic L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1352 / 3136 43.1% 40.1% 721 / 1512 47.7% 40.1%
In the clinch 191 / 280 68.2% 70.6% 121 / 179 67.6% 70.6%
On the ground 42 / 63 66.7% 70.2% 165 / 219 75.3% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 875 / 2536 34.5% 38.9% 737 / 1612 45.7% 38.9%
To the body 339 / 475 71.4% 76.8% 139 / 159 87.4% 76.8%
To the legs 371 / 468 79.3% 87.8% 131 / 139 94.2% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Arlovski L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Miocic L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 995 / 2590 38.4% 40.7% 705 / 1601 44.0% 40.7%
In the clinch 191 / 284 67.3% 70.6% 72 / 106 67.9% 70.6%
On the ground 160 / 239 66.9% 72.0% 88 / 107 82.2% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 853 / 2459 34.7% 38.8% 624 / 1449 43.1% 38.8%
To the body 244 / 357 68.3% 75.1% 129 / 231 55.8% 75.1%
To the legs 249 / 297 83.8% 84.4% 112 / 134 83.6% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

934.6% acc · 0.33/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
2534.2% acc · 1.74/15 · norm 0.95
5677.8% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1365.0% def · norm 64.3%
32:067.8% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
57:1626.5% of cage time · norm 17.2%
67:492:28 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
11:050:46 per 15 · norm 2:28
50.18/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Arlovski has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.