BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Andrei Arlovski vs.
Philipe Lins

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

23-18-0 (1 NC) Andrei Arlovski · UFC
4-2-0 Philipe Lins · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

23-18-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
4-2-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
47.5
AgeΔ 6.5 yrs
41
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
77"
ReachΔ 1"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
25.2
Layoff (months)Δ 3.7 mo
28.9
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Philipe Lins hunts takedowns — 1.65 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Philipe Lins owns the mat — in control 31% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Andrei Arlovski rarely shoots — 0.33 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Andrei Arlovski

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2318
Tier 3 — regional circuit 106

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.69 · 23 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 59 documented bouts

In the UFC: 15-16 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Philipe Lins

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 105
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.23 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15853.87/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
2413.80/min · norm 3.41
13463.28/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
2283.59/min · norm 3.35
45.6%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
49.1%norm 48.3%
56.8%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
46.5%norm 52.9%
100.37/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
10.24/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Andrei Arlovski

Distance 90.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 1.8% (norm 9.3%)

Philipe Lins

Distance 89.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 8.4% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Andrei Arlovski

Head 72.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 13.5% (norm 7.6%)

Philipe Lins

Head 72.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 16.1% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Arlovski L/AAccHeavyweight med Lins L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1352 / 3136 43.1% 40.1% 202 / 438 46.1% 41.4%
In the clinch 191 / 280 68.2% 70.6% 30 / 41 73.2% 70.9%
On the ground 42 / 63 66.7% 70.2% 9 / 12 too few to rate 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 875 / 2536 34.5% 38.9% 141 / 358 39.4% 38.9%
To the body 339 / 475 71.4% 76.8% 55 / 79 69.6% 71.9%
To the legs 371 / 468 79.3% 87.8% 45 / 54 83.3% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Arlovski L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Lins L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 995 / 2590 38.4% 40.7% 179 / 361 49.6% 40.4%
In the clinch 191 / 284 67.3% 70.6% 47 / 63 74.6% 68.7%
On the ground 160 / 239 66.9% 72.0% 2 / 2 too few to rate 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 853 / 2459 34.7% 38.8% 94 / 266 35.3% 37.5%
To the body 244 / 357 68.3% 75.1% 68 / 83 81.9% 72.3%
To the legs 249 / 297 83.8% 84.4% 66 / 77 85.7% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

934.6% acc · 0.33/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
733.3% acc · 1.65/15 · norm 0.87
5677.8% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
5100.0% def · norm 66.7%
32:067.8% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
19:3530.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
67:492:28 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
2:460:39 per 15 · norm 2:48
50.18/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Arlovski has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.