BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Andrei Arlovski vs.
Justin Eilers

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

23-18-0 (1 NC) Andrei Arlovski · UFC
1-3-0 Justin Eilers · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

23-18-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
1-3-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
47.5
AgeΔ 0.6 yrs
48.1
6'3"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
77"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
25.2
Layoff (months)Δ 220.8 mo
246
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Justin Eilers carries real power — 1.44 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Justin Eilers absorbs 6.65 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.19 Heavyweight norm — hittable.
Andrei Arlovski rarely shoots — 0.33 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Andrei Arlovski

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2318
Tier 3 — regional circuit 106

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.69 · 23 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 59 documented bouts

In the UFC: 15-16 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Justin Eilers

Full career not yet synced for Justin Eilers — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15853.87/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
201.93/min · norm 3.36
13463.28/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
696.65/min · norm 3.19
45.6%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
30.8%norm 47.8%
56.8%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
47.7%norm 52.5%
100.37/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
11.44/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Andrei Arlovski

Distance 90.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 1.8% (norm 9.3%)

Justin Eilers

Distance 78.5% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 20.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 1.5% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Andrei Arlovski

Head 72.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.7% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 13.5% (norm 7.6%)

Justin Eilers

Head 76.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 6.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 16.9% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Arlovski L/AAccHeavyweight med Eilers L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1352 / 3136 43.1% 40.1% 7 / 51 13.7% 40.1%
In the clinch 191 / 280 68.2% 70.6% 12 / 13 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 42 / 63 66.7% 70.2% 1 / 1 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 875 / 2536 34.5% 38.9% 11 / 50 22.0% 38.9%
To the body 339 / 475 71.4% 76.8% 0 / 4 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 371 / 468 79.3% 87.8% 9 / 11 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Arlovski L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Eilers L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 995 / 2590 38.4% 40.7% 49 / 107 45.8% 40.7%
In the clinch 191 / 284 67.3% 70.6% 15 / 20 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 160 / 239 66.9% 72.0% 5 / 5 too few to rate 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 853 / 2459 34.7% 38.8% 38 / 95 40.0% 38.8%
To the body 244 / 357 68.3% 75.1% 11 / 13 too few to rate 75.1%
To the legs 249 / 297 83.8% 84.4% 20 / 24 too few to rate 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

934.6% acc · 0.33/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
5677.8% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
0— def · norm 64.3%
32:067.8% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
1:5518.5% of cage time · norm 17.2%
67:492:28 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
0:210:30 per 15 · norm 2:28
50.18/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Arlovski has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.