BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Andrea Lee vs.
Cynthia Calvillo

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-9-0 Andrea Lee · UFC
6-6-1 Cynthia Calvillo · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-9-0
UFC record
6-6-1
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
37
AgeΔ 2 yrs
39
5'6"
HeightΔ 2"
5'4"
69"
ReachΔ 5"
64"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
17.2
Layoff (months)Δ 22.7 mo
39.9
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Cynthia Calvillo is a submission threat — 0.81 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Andrea Lee is a submission threat — 0.60 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Cynthia Calvillo hunts takedowns — 1.80 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Andrea Lee

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 59
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 52

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.61 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Cynthia Calvillo

Full career not yet synced for Cynthia Calvillo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9244.62/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
7364.41/min · norm 3.77
7823.91/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
6874.12/min · norm 3.94
45.5%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
38.4%norm 44.5%
61.5%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
64.0%norm 54.4%
10.08/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Andrea Lee

Distance 89.4% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 6.2% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.4% (norm 4.9%)

Cynthia Calvillo

Distance 93.7% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 1.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Andrea Lee

Head 65.6% (norm 78.1%) · Body 22.1% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 12.3% (norm 7.7%)

Cynthia Calvillo

Head 71.0% (norm 76.4%) · Body 19.8% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 9.1% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lee L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Calvillo L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 758 / 1817 41.7% 39.9% 639 / 1795 35.6% 38.3%
In the clinch 100 / 125 80.0% 73.3% 19 / 23 too few to rate 72.6%
On the ground 66 / 90 73.3% 74.7% 78 / 98 79.6% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 414 / 1332 31.1% 34.9% 394 / 1361 28.9% 35.4%
To the body 309 / 450 68.7% 69.5% 224 / 380 58.9% 69.3%
To the legs 201 / 250 80.4% 82.6% 118 / 175 67.4% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lee L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Calvillo L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 704 / 1906 36.9% 38.8% 645 / 1833 35.2% 39.7%
In the clinch 54 / 83 65.1% 74.1% 36 / 67 53.7% 71.5%
On the ground 24 / 40 60.0% 73.4% 6 / 9 too few to rate 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 486 / 1574 30.9% 35.3% 418 / 1520 27.5% 36.0%
To the body 156 / 294 53.1% 69.0% 121 / 202 59.9% 68.4%
To the legs 140 / 161 87.0% 78.7% 148 / 187 79.1% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2252.4% acc · 1.65/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
2044.4% acc · 1.80/15 · norm 1.10
3553.8% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1477.8% def · norm 64.1%
30:2715.2% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
32:1719.4% of cage time · norm 19.4%
38:252:52 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
2:010:10 per 15 · norm 3:00
80.60/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
90.81/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lee has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.