BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Andrea Lee vs.
Ashlee Evans-Smith

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-9-0 Andrea Lee · UFC
3-6-0 Ashlee Evans-Smith · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-9-0
UFC record
3-6-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Bantamweight
37
AgeΔ 2 yrs
39
5'6"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
69"
ReachΔ 2"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
17.2
Layoff (months)Δ 19.5 mo
36.7
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Andrea Lee is a submission threat — 0.60 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Women's Flyweight norm.
Andrea Lee hunts takedowns — 1.65 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Ashlee Evans-Smith is wasteful with head shots — only 23% land, vs a 38% Women's Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Andrea Lee

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 59
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 30
Tier 3 — regional circuit 52

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.61 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Full career not yet synced for Ashlee Evans-Smith — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9244.62/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
4464.03/min · norm 3.56
7823.91/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
5084.59/min · norm 3.51
45.5%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
34.1%norm 46.65%
61.5%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
53.9%norm 52.45%
10.08/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.08

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Andrea Lee

Distance 89.4% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 6.2% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 4.4% (norm 4.9%)

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Distance 85.8% (norm 80.3%) · Clinch 10.2% (norm 9.7%) · Ground 4.0% (norm 7.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Andrea Lee

Head 65.6% (norm 78.1%) · Body 22.1% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 12.3% (norm 7.7%)

Ashlee Evans-Smith

Head 75.9% (norm 75.2%) · Body 16.3% (norm 14.3%) · Legs 7.9% (norm 8.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lee L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Evans-Smith L/AAccWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 758 / 1817 41.7% 39.9% 309 / 1123 27.5% 38.3%
In the clinch 100 / 125 80.0% 73.3% 98 / 134 73.1% 73.3%
On the ground 66 / 90 73.3% 74.7% 39 / 52 75.0% 70.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 414 / 1332 31.1% 34.9% 229 / 993 23.1% 37.7%
To the body 309 / 450 68.7% 69.5% 135 / 213 63.4% 70.0%
To the legs 201 / 250 80.4% 82.6% 82 / 103 79.6% 80.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Bantamweight: 40 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lee L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Evans-Smith L/AOpp accWomen's Bantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 704 / 1906 36.9% 38.8% 376 / 904 41.6% 41.3%
In the clinch 54 / 83 65.1% 74.1% 78 / 120 65.0% 74.7%
On the ground 24 / 40 60.0% 73.4% 54 / 77 70.1% 74.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 486 / 1574 30.9% 35.3% 319 / 871 36.6% 38.1%
To the body 156 / 294 53.1% 69.0% 95 / 125 76.0% 73.2%
To the legs 140 / 161 87.0% 78.7% 94 / 105 89.5% 80.9%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2252.4% acc · 1.65/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
722.6% acc · 0.95/15 · norm 0.91
3553.8% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
1550.0% def · norm 62.5%
30:2715.2% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
13:3012.2% of cage time · norm 26.55%
38:252:52 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
24:463:21 per 15 · norm 3:19
80.60/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.34

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lee has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.