BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alvin Robinson vs.
Jorge Gurgel

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Alvin Robinson · UFC
3-4-0 Jorge Gurgel · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
3-4-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
44.1
AgeΔ 5.4 yrs
49.5
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'7"
68"
ReachΔ 1"
69"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
212.6
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
212.6
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alvin Robinson is a submission threat — 1.24 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Alvin Robinson is hard to hit — absorbs 1.29 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.37 Lightweight norm.
Jorge Gurgel rarely shoots — 0.86 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alvin Robinson

Full career not yet synced for Alvin Robinson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Jorge Gurgel

Full career not yet synced for Jorge Gurgel — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

571.57/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
3563.40/min · norm 3.42
471.29/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
3753.58/min · norm 3.37
50.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
33.1%norm 43.5%
51.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
63.0%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alvin Robinson

Distance 31.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 8.8% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 60.2% (norm 8.0%)

Jorge Gurgel

Distance 78.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 9.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.8% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alvin Robinson

Head 95.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 2.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.8% (norm 7.9%)

Jorge Gurgel

Head 86.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 4.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Robinson L/AAccLightweight med Gurgel L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 13 / 35 37.1% 37.9% 240 / 845 28.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 5 / 10 too few to rate 67.3% 59 / 103 57.3% 67.3%
On the ground 39 / 68 57.4% 69.1% 57 / 127 44.9% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 53 / 108 49.1% 35.0% 246 / 930 26.5% 35.0%
To the body 3 / 3 too few to rate 69.1% 34 / 49 69.4% 69.1%
To the legs 1 / 2 too few to rate 81.9% 76 / 96 79.2% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Robinson L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Gurgel L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 4 / 18 too few to rate 38.9% 253 / 807 31.4% 38.9%
In the clinch 3 / 3 too few to rate 68.6% 59 / 103 57.3% 68.6%
On the ground 40 / 75 53.3% 68.0% 63 / 103 61.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 37 / 85 43.5% 35.1% 275 / 871 31.6% 35.1%
To the body 8 / 8 too few to rate 68.1% 70 / 97 72.2% 68.1%
To the legs 2 / 3 too few to rate 81.5% 30 / 45 66.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

350.0% acc · 1.24/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
625.0% acc · 0.86/15 · norm 1.38
225.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
555.6% def · norm 64.0%
11:0930.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
26:1825.1% of cage time · norm 19.5%
22:439:21 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
15:452:15 per 15 · norm 2:46
31.24/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.14/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gurgel has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.