BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alvaro Herrera Mendoza vs.
Jordan Rinaldi

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Alvaro Herrera Mendoza · UFC
2-3-0 Jordan Rinaldi · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
2-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
36.2
AgeΔ 2.7 yrs
38.9
6'0"
HeightΔ 2"
5'10"
74"
ReachΔ 2"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
96.3
Layoff (months)Δ 7.6 mo
88.7
LLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alvaro Herrera Mendoza carries real power — 1.13 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Jordan Rinaldi is a submission threat — 1.16 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Alvaro Herrera Mendoza is a submission threat — 1.13 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alvaro Herrera Mendoza

Full career not yet synced for Alvaro Herrera Mendoza — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.8 wins over .500

Jordan Rinaldi

Full career not yet synced for Jordan Rinaldi — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

251.89/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
811.56/min · norm 3.42
453.40/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1202.32/min · norm 3.37
38.5%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
35.2%norm 43.5%
55.0%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
59.3%norm 56.3%
11.13/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alvaro Herrera Mendoza

Distance 92.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.1% (norm 8.0%)

Jordan Rinaldi

Distance 88.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 1.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alvaro Herrera Mendoza

Head 86.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.5% (norm 7.9%)

Jordan Rinaldi

Head 68.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 19.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Mendoza L/AAccLightweight med Rinaldi L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 20 / 60 33.3% 37.9% 68 / 203 33.5% 37.9%
In the clinch 3 / 3 too few to rate 67.3% 1 / 4 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 2 / 2 too few to rate 69.1% 12 / 23 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 17 / 56 30.4% 35.0% 39 / 158 24.7% 35.0%
To the body 7 / 8 too few to rate 69.1% 11 / 27 40.7% 69.1%
To the legs 1 / 1 too few to rate 81.9% 31 / 45 68.9% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Mendoza L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Rinaldi L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 31 / 75 41.3% 38.9% 75 / 227 33.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 2 / 3 too few to rate 68.6% 8 / 14 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 12 / 22 too few to rate 68.0% 37 / 54 68.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 20 / 60 33.3% 35.1% 92 / 253 36.4% 35.1%
To the body 8 / 17 too few to rate 68.1% 21 / 29 72.4% 68.1%
To the legs 17 / 23 too few to rate 81.5% 7 / 13 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
535.7% acc · 1.45/15 · norm 1.38
233.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
120.0% def · norm 64.0%
0:111.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
15:5930.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
6:066:54 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
8:582:35 per 15 · norm 2:46
11.13/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
41.16/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rinaldi has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.