BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alptekin Ozkilic vs.
John Lineker

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Alptekin Ozkilic · UFC
12-4-0 John Lineker · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
12-4-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
40.4
AgeΔ 4.2 yrs
36.2
5'5"
HeightΔ 2"
5'3"
65"
ReachΔ 2"
67"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
134.9
Layoff (months)Δ 47.6 mo
87.3
LLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Alptekin Ozkilic hunts takedowns — 4.21 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
John Lineker carries real power — 0.96 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
John Lineker is a submission threat — 0.64 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alptekin Ozkilic

Full career not yet synced for Alptekin Ozkilic — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

John Lineker

Full career not yet synced for John Lineker — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1903.81/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
10105.36/min · norm 3.52
2855.72/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
8054.27/min · norm 3.58
32.3%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
40.2%norm 43.4%
59.5%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
56.1%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
120.96/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alptekin Ozkilic

Distance 86.9% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 6.0% (norm 7.3%)

John Lineker

Distance 87.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 6.2% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alptekin Ozkilic

Head 85.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 11.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 3.1% (norm 9.3%)

John Lineker

Head 69.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 25.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ozkilic L/AAccFlyweight med Lineker L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 154 / 511 30.1% 40.0% 833 / 2199 37.9% 39.0%
In the clinch 25 / 42 59.5% 70.4% 78 / 159 49.1% 68.7%
On the ground 11 / 35 31.4% 69.7% 99 / 156 63.5% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 144 / 501 28.7% 37.6% 562 / 1747 32.2% 34.9%
To the body 30 / 69 43.5% 68.5% 360 / 632 57.0% 66.8%
To the legs 16 / 18 too few to rate 80.0% 88 / 135 65.2% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ozkilic L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Lineker L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 218 / 593 36.8% 40.1% 666 / 1612 41.3% 39.3%
In the clinch 34 / 54 63.0% 68.8% 48 / 92 52.2% 70.4%
On the ground 33 / 56 58.9% 71.1% 91 / 131 69.5% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 189 / 560 33.8% 35.2% 525 / 1434 36.6% 34.9%
To the body 71 / 115 61.7% 68.2% 151 / 244 61.9% 66.0%
To the legs 25 / 28 89.3% 80.3% 129 / 157 82.2% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1458.3% acc · 4.21/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
758.3% acc · 0.56/15 · norm 1.12
1275.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
4067.8% def · norm 66.7%
12:2825.0% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
11:015.8% of cage time · norm 17.4%
3:321:03 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
24:521:58 per 15 · norm 2:24
00.00/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
80.64/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lineker has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.