Allan Nascimento vs.
Mitch Raposo
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Allan Nascimento
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 4 | 4 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 1 | 1 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 17 | 2 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 29 documented bouts
In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500
Mitch Raposo
Full career not yet synced for Mitch Raposo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Allan Nascimento
Distance 83.7% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 11.8% (norm 7.3%)
Mitch Raposo
Distance 98.8% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 1.2% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 7.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Allan Nascimento
Head 62.5% (norm 75.9%) · Body 19.4% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 18.1% (norm 9.3%)
Mitch Raposo
Head 82.9% (norm 75.9%) · Body 15.6% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 1.6% (norm 9.3%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Nascimento L/A | Acc | Flyweight med | Raposo L/A | Acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 131 / 319 | 41.1% | 40.0% | 107 / 254 | 42.1% | 40.0% |
| In the clinch | 14 / 17 | too few to rate | 70.4% | 2 / 3 | too few to rate | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 27 / 45 | 60.0% | 69.7% | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 69.7% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 72 / 238 | 30.3% | 37.6% | 77 / 213 | 36.2% | 37.6% |
| To the body | 44 / 74 | 59.5% | 68.5% | 28 / 40 | 70.0% | 68.5% |
| To the legs | 56 / 69 | 81.2% | 80.0% | 4 / 4 | too few to rate | 80.0% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Nascimento L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med | vs Raposo L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 114 / 289 | 39.4% | 40.1% | 146 / 410 | 35.6% | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 8 / 10 | too few to rate | 68.8% | 19 / 25 | 76.0% | 68.8% |
| On the ground | 16 / 24 | too few to rate | 71.1% | 8 / 9 | too few to rate | 71.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 106 / 279 | 38.0% | 35.2% | 81 / 307 | 26.4% | 35.2% |
| To the body | 26 / 34 | 76.5% | 68.2% | 34 / 54 | 63.0% | 68.2% |
| To the legs | 6 / 10 | too few to rate | 80.3% | 58 / 83 | 69.9% | 80.3% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nascimento has more cage time on record.