Aljamain Sterling vs. Takeya Mizugaki

UFC 18-5-0 vs. 8-6-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
18-5-0
UFC record
8-6-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
37
AgeΔ 5 yrs
42
5'7"
HeightΔ 0"
5'7"
71"
ReachΔ 2"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.4
Layoff (months)Δ 112.2 mo
115.6
WWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Aljamain Sterling is a submission threat — 0.64 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Aljamain Sterling hunts takedowns — 2.54 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Takeya Mizugaki owns the mat — in control 27% of cage time, vs a 17% Bantamweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Aljamain Sterling

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 185
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 16-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Takeya Mizugaki

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 87
Tier 3 — regional circuit 157

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.41 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 39 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

14074.26/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
6133.79/min · norm 3.52
7102.15/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
5173.20/min · norm 3.58
52.6%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
40.0%norm 43.4%
59.2%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
58.1%norm 56.6%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
30.28/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Aljamain Sterling

Distance 77.2% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 12.7% (norm 6.5%)

Takeya Mizugaki

Distance 77.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 11.7% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 10.4% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Aljamain Sterling

Head 64.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 23.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.7% (norm 8.4%)

Takeya Mizugaki

Head 85.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 10.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Sterling L/AAccBantamweight med Mizugaki L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 941 / 2066 45.5% 39.0% 421 / 1193 35.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 209 / 270 77.4% 68.7% 99 / 179 55.3% 68.7%
On the ground 257 / 339 75.8% 70.2% 93 / 159 58.5% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 703 / 1712 41.1% 34.9% 443 / 1306 33.9% 34.9%
To the body 443 / 622 71.2% 66.8% 121 / 154 78.6% 66.8%
To the legs 261 / 341 76.5% 79.4% 49 / 71 69.0% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Sterling L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Mizugaki L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 567 / 1534 37.0% 39.3% 354 / 1020 34.7% 39.3%
In the clinch 92 / 134 68.7% 70.4% 128 / 167 76.6% 70.4%
On the ground 51 / 71 71.8% 72.4% 35 / 48 72.9% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 355 / 1230 28.9% 34.9% 324 / 998 32.5% 34.9%
To the body 190 / 302 62.9% 66.0% 149 / 187 79.7% 66.0%
To the legs 165 / 207 79.7% 79.1% 44 / 50 88.0% 79.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
5632.2% acc · 2.54/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
1650.0% acc · 1.49/15 · norm 1.12
2244.9% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
4070.2% def · norm 66.7%
109:3333.1% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
42:5726.6% of cage time · norm 17.4%
56:062:32 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
34:543:14 per 15 · norm 2:24
140.64/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
10.09/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Sterling has more cage time on record.