BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Aljamain Sterling vs.
Henry Cejudo

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

18-5-0 Aljamain Sterling · UFC
10-6-0 Henry Cejudo · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

18-5-0
UFC record
10-6-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
37
AgeΔ 2.5 yrs
39.5
5'7"
HeightΔ 3"
5'4"
71"
ReachΔ 7"
64"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.4
Layoff (months)Δ 4.6 mo
8
WWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Aljamain Sterling is a submission threat — 0.64 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Aljamain Sterling hunts takedowns — 2.54 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Henry Cejudo carries real power — 0.34 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Aljamain Sterling

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 185
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.61 · 18 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 16-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Henry Cejudo

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 106
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 20
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.32 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 9-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +5.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

14074.26/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
8383.83/min · norm 3.49
7102.15/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
8393.84/min · norm 3.24
52.6%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
47.4%norm 44.6%
59.2%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
57.3%norm 56.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
50.34/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Aljamain Sterling

Distance 77.2% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 10.1% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 12.7% (norm 6.5%)

Henry Cejudo

Distance 78.8% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 13.4% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 7.8% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Aljamain Sterling

Head 64.0% (norm 77.4%) · Body 23.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.7% (norm 8.4%)

Henry Cejudo

Head 72.2% (norm 75.9%) · Body 18.1% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 9.6% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Sterling L/AAccBantamweight med Cejudo L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 941 / 2066 45.5% 39.0% 578 / 1394 41.5% 40.0%
In the clinch 209 / 270 77.4% 68.7% 157 / 237 66.2% 70.4%
On the ground 257 / 339 75.8% 70.2% 103 / 138 74.6% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 703 / 1712 41.1% 34.9% 457 / 1278 35.8% 37.6%
To the body 443 / 622 71.2% 66.8% 240 / 321 74.8% 68.5%
To the legs 261 / 341 76.5% 79.4% 141 / 170 82.9% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Sterling L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Cejudo L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 567 / 1534 37.0% 39.3% 679 / 1751 38.8% 40.1%
In the clinch 92 / 134 68.7% 70.4% 122 / 165 73.9% 68.8%
On the ground 51 / 71 71.8% 72.4% 38 / 49 77.6% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 355 / 1230 28.9% 34.9% 453 / 1448 31.3% 35.2%
To the body 190 / 302 62.9% 66.0% 221 / 306 72.2% 68.2%
To the legs 165 / 207 79.7% 79.1% 165 / 211 78.2% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

5632.2% acc · 2.54/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
2629.9% acc · 1.78/15 · norm 1.30
2244.9% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
3472.3% def · norm 62.5%
109:3333.1% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
44:3820.4% of cage time · norm 17.0%
56:062:32 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
14:110:58 per 15 · norm 2:44
140.64/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
20.14/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Sterling has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.