Alistair Overeem vs.
Sergei Pavlovich
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Alistair Overeem
Full career not yet synced for Alistair Overeem — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 10-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500
Sergei Pavlovich
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 9 | 3 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 12 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.6 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 24 documented bouts
In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.2 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Alistair Overeem
Distance 50.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 17.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 32.6% (norm 9.3%)
Sergei Pavlovich
Distance 87.3% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 5.6% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 7.1% (norm 9.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Alistair Overeem
Head 61.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 27.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 11.1% (norm 7.6%)
Sergei Pavlovich
Head 89.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 7.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 7.6%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Overeem L/A | Acc | Heavyweight med | Pavlovich L/A | Acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 314 / 482 | 65.1% | 40.1% | 235 / 557 | 42.2% | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 144 / 166 | 86.7% | 70.6% | 19 / 36 | 52.8% | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 257 / 314 | 81.8% | 70.2% | 31 / 45 | 68.9% | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 386 / 593 | 65.1% | 38.9% | 237 / 573 | 41.4% | 38.9% |
| To the body | 231 / 262 | 88.2% | 76.8% | 30 / 46 | 65.2% | 76.8% |
| To the legs | 98 / 107 | 91.6% | 87.8% | 18 / 19 | too few to rate | 87.8% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Overeem L/A | Opp acc | Heavyweight med | vs Pavlovich L/A | Opp acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 357 / 887 | 40.2% | 40.7% | 204 / 490 | 41.6% | 40.7% |
| In the clinch | 155 / 220 | 70.5% | 70.6% | 8 / 11 | too few to rate | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 77 / 98 | 78.6% | 72.0% | 15 / 17 | too few to rate | 72.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 404 / 958 | 42.2% | 38.8% | 113 / 352 | 32.1% | 38.8% |
| To the body | 126 / 166 | 75.9% | 75.1% | 38 / 61 | 62.3% | 75.1% |
| To the legs | 59 / 81 | 72.8% | 84.4% | 76 / 105 | 72.4% | 84.4% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Overeem has more cage time on record.