BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Alistair Overeem vs.
Junior Dos Santos

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-8-0 Alistair Overeem · UFC
15-8-0 Junior Dos Santos · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-8-0
UFC record
15-8-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
46.2
AgeΔ 3.7 yrs
42.5
6'4"
HeightΔ 0"
6'4"
80"
ReachΔ 3"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
65.9
Layoff (months)Δ 1.9 mo
67.8
LWWLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Junior Dos Santos carries real power — 0.85 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Alistair Overeem carries real power — 0.81 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Junior Dos Santos rarely shoots — 0.30 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Alistair Overeem

Full career not yet synced for Alistair Overeem — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.8 wins over .500

Junior Dos Santos

Full career not yet synced for Junior Dos Santos — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 11-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7153.87/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
11094.49/min · norm 3.36
5893.19/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
8233.33/min · norm 3.19
74.3%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
47.9%norm 47.8%
51.1%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
56.2%norm 52.5%
100.81/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
140.85/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Alistair Overeem

Distance 50.1% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 17.3% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 32.6% (norm 9.3%)

Junior Dos Santos

Distance 87.9% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Alistair Overeem

Head 61.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 27.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 11.1% (norm 7.6%)

Junior Dos Santos

Head 73.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 24.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 2.6% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Overeem L/AAccHeavyweight med Santos L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 314 / 482 65.1% 40.1% 942 / 2032 46.4% 40.1%
In the clinch 144 / 166 86.7% 70.6% 94 / 162 58.0% 70.6%
On the ground 257 / 314 81.8% 70.2% 73 / 119 61.3% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 386 / 593 65.1% 38.9% 682 / 1693 40.3% 38.9%
To the body 231 / 262 88.2% 76.8% 378 / 560 67.5% 76.8%
To the legs 98 / 107 91.6% 87.8% 49 / 60 81.7% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Overeem L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Santos L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 357 / 887 40.2% 40.7% 583 / 1530 38.1% 40.7%
In the clinch 155 / 220 70.5% 70.6% 159 / 236 67.4% 70.6%
On the ground 77 / 98 78.6% 72.0% 81 / 114 71.1% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 404 / 958 42.2% 38.8% 552 / 1544 35.8% 38.8%
To the body 126 / 166 75.9% 75.1% 105 / 141 74.5% 75.1%
To the legs 59 / 81 72.8% 84.4% 166 / 195 85.1% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1034.5% acc · 0.81/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
550.0% acc · 0.30/15 · norm 0.95
1263.2% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
7281.8% def · norm 64.3%
48:0926.1% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
7:363.1% of cage time · norm 17.2%
18:531:31 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
39:482:25 per 15 · norm 2:28
30.24/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
10.06/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Santos has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.