BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Ali Bagautinov vs.
Marcos Vinicius

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-3-0 Ali Bagautinov · UFC
1-2-0 Marcos Vinicius · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-3-0
UFC record
1-2-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
41.2
AgeΔ 5.5 yrs
46.7
5'4"
HeightΔ 5"
5'9"
65"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
116.5
Layoff (months)Δ 38.5 mo
155
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Marcos Vinicius rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Ali Bagautinov hunts takedowns — 2.51 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Ali Bagautinov owns the mat — in control 28% of cage time, vs a 17% Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Ali Bagautinov

Full career not yet synced for Ali Bagautinov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500

Marcos Vinicius

Full career not yet synced for Marcos Vinicius — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3232.85/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
591.93/min · norm 3.49
3513.09/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
892.91/min · norm 3.24
42.4%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
49.2%norm 44.6%
52.4%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
47.3%norm 56.4%
20.26/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Ali Bagautinov

Distance 70.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 12.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 16.7% (norm 7.3%)

Marcos Vinicius

Distance 75.0% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 12.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 12.5% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Ali Bagautinov

Head 75.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 9.3%)

Marcos Vinicius

Head 67.5% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.5% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 15.0% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Bagautinov L/AAccFlyweight med Vinicius L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 166 / 537 30.9% 40.0% 35 / 90 38.9% 40.0%
In the clinch 64 / 97 66.0% 70.4% 14 / 15 too few to rate 70.4%
On the ground 93 / 127 73.2% 69.7% 10 / 15 too few to rate 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 182 / 573 31.8% 37.6% 34 / 81 42.0% 37.6%
To the body 104 / 135 77.0% 68.5% 13 / 21 too few to rate 68.5%
To the legs 37 / 53 69.8% 80.0% 12 / 18 too few to rate 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Bagautinov L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Vinicius L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 193 / 537 35.9% 40.1% 45 / 103 43.7% 40.1%
In the clinch 131 / 169 77.5% 68.8% 10 / 13 too few to rate 68.8%
On the ground 27 / 31 87.1% 71.1% 34 / 53 64.2% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 188 / 507 37.1% 35.2% 61 / 129 47.3% 35.2%
To the body 88 / 130 67.7% 68.2% 13 / 21 too few to rate 68.2%
To the legs 75 / 100 75.0% 80.3% 15 / 19 too few to rate 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1936.5% acc · 2.51/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.30
1365.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
225.0% def · norm 62.5%
31:5028.1% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
2:428.8% of cage time · norm 17.0%
10:591:27 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
13:566:50 per 15 · norm 2:44
20.26/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
10.49/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Bagautinov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.