Ali Bagautinov vs.
John Lineker
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Ali Bagautinov
Full career not yet synced for Ali Bagautinov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 2-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.1 wins over .500
John Lineker
Full career not yet synced for John Lineker — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Ali Bagautinov
Distance 70.6% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 12.7% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 16.7% (norm 7.3%)
John Lineker
Distance 87.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.3% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 6.2% (norm 6.5%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Ali Bagautinov
Head 75.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 7.0% (norm 9.3%)
John Lineker
Head 69.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 25.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.4% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Bagautinov L/A | Acc | Flyweight med | Lineker L/A | Acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 166 / 537 | 30.9% | 40.0% | 833 / 2199 | 37.9% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 64 / 97 | 66.0% | 70.4% | 78 / 159 | 49.1% | 68.7% |
| On the ground | 93 / 127 | 73.2% | 69.7% | 99 / 156 | 63.5% | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 182 / 573 | 31.8% | 37.6% | 562 / 1747 | 32.2% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 104 / 135 | 77.0% | 68.5% | 360 / 632 | 57.0% | 66.8% |
| To the legs | 37 / 53 | 69.8% | 80.0% | 88 / 135 | 65.2% | 79.4% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Bagautinov L/A | Opp acc | Flyweight med | vs Lineker L/A | Opp acc | Bantamweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 193 / 537 | 35.9% | 40.1% | 666 / 1612 | 41.3% | 39.3% |
| In the clinch | 131 / 169 | 77.5% | 68.8% | 48 / 92 | 52.2% | 70.4% |
| On the ground | 27 / 31 | 87.1% | 71.1% | 91 / 131 | 69.5% | 72.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 188 / 507 | 37.1% | 35.2% | 525 / 1434 | 36.6% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 88 / 130 | 67.7% | 68.2% | 151 / 244 | 61.9% | 66.0% |
| To the legs | 75 / 100 | 75.0% | 80.3% | 129 / 157 | 82.2% | 79.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lineker has more cage time on record.